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US Open 2026 (Women's Singles, USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows): Aryna Sabalenka (BLR, No. 1 seed) wins the tournament (final approx. September 13, 2026, confirmed by USTA or WTA)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 24. August 2026 · Predicted for 13. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

27%

Polymarket gives Sabalenka a 26% chance as the clear favorite (as of approx. August 20, 2026). She is a two-time US Open champion (2023, 2024) and enters the tournament with an outstanding 2026 season (25-2 before the Madrid quarterfinals). The fast Flushing Meadows surface suits her especially well. Swiatek and Rybakina are projected to reach the semifinals per existing platform forecasts; Gauff is at approximately 8.9% on Polymarket. The field is competitive, but Sabalenka remains the structurally strongest player for this surface and tournament conditions. I adopt the Polymarket anchor of 26% virtually unchanged (→27%).

Data basis for this prediction

Polymarket: Sabalenka 26 % für US Open Damen-Einzel 2026 (ca. 20. August 2026, polymarket.com)
Deadspin Prediction Markets: '2026 US Open Women's Singles – Can Sabalenka Three-Peat?' (Juli 2026)
crushrushnews.com: 'Polymarket US Open Odds: Sabalenka Tops Field' (15. August 2026)

Verdict: Miss

Elena Rybakina (KAZ) gewann das Damen-Einzel der US Open 2026 und besiegte Aryna Sabalenka im Finale mit 6–4, 5–7, 6–2. Sabalenka schied als zweimalige Titelverteidigerin im Finale aus. Quelle: USTA-Ergebnisse (usopen.org) und CBS Sports.

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