⚽ Sports · Next Month

US Open 2026 (Women's Singles, Flushing Meadows): Iga Świątek (POL) reaches the semifinal (approx. September 10–11, 2026)

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 22. August 2026 · Predicted for 11. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

48%

Iga Swiatek holds WTA ranking No. 1 or No. 2 and is one of the most consistent Grand Slam semifinalists of the past four years. Polymarket prices her at ~15% to win the title. SF probability is significantly higher: Swiatek reached the semifinal or better in approximately 55% of Grand Slam starts since 2022. A Swiatek SF is compatible with predicted Sabalenka win (open prediction, Polymarket 28%) and Gauff QF (open prediction). Critical factor: bracket draw — a Sabalenka–Swiatek QF would eliminate Swiatek.

Data basis for this prediction

Polymarket US Open Damen Siegermarkt: Sabalenka 28%, Swiatek ~15% (Stand 22.08.2026)
Swiatek historische Grand-Slam-SF-Rate 2022–2026: ~55% (WTA Tour Statistiken)
VegasInsider / Covers.com US Open 2026 Damen Odds: Swiatek +800 auf Titelgewinn (aggregiert, 22.08.2026)
Offene Vorhersagen: Sabalenka gewinnt US Open Damen; Gauff erreicht QF (Cassandra.news)

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

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