📈 Economy · Next Month

US ISM Non-Manufacturing (Services) PMI for July 2026 at 50.0 or above (released approx. August 5, 2026, confirmed by ISM Report On Business)

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 25. July 2026 · Predicted for 5. August 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

82%

The ISM Services PMI for June 2026 came in at 54.0, matching consensus and firmly in expansion territory. The US services sector has been in uninterrupted expansion for 12+ months. Sub-indices: Business Activity 55.4%, New Orders 55.1%, Employment 51.2%. Even a sharp July pullback would be unlikely to breach the 50 threshold. No Polymarket anchor; historical Services PMI stability above 50 is well-established. Note: this is the Services PMI — the ISM Manufacturing PMI for July is already separately forecast.

Data basis for this prediction

ISM Services PMI Juni 2026: 54,0 (Konsens 54,0); Business Activity 55,4 %; New Orders 55,1 % (ISM / PR Newswire, 6. Juli 2026)
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI: 12+ Monate ununterbrochen über 50 (ISM Report History)
Veröffentlichungsdatum ISM Services Juli 2026: ca. 5. August 2026 (ISM Release Calendar)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

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