📈 Economy · Next Week

US ISM Manufacturing PMI August 2026 (release September 2, 2026): Index above 49.0 points (confirmed via ISM Institute or Bloomberg)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 24. August 2026 · Predicted for 2. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

57%

The US ISM Manufacturing PMI oscillated mainly between 47 and 50 (contraction territory) in 2024/25. Several 2026 factors support a modest recovery: lower core inflation, inventory rebuilding in manufacturing, stable consumer demand. The 49.0 threshold is deliberately below the 50-point boundary – a contraction slowdown is more likely than a return to expansion. ISM Services PMI is separately predicted >53 for Sep 3 (existing). ISM Manufacturing has cleared 49 in 7 of the past 12 months.

Data basis for this prediction

ISM Manufacturing PMI 2024–2025: Durchschnitt 48,2; in 7/12 Monaten über 49,0 (ISM Institute)
US-Kern-PCE Juli 2026: ≥3,2 % (bestehende Vorhersage) – weiterhin erhöhte, aber stabilisierte Inflation
US Durable Goods Kernrate Juli 2026: ≥+0,5 % MoM (bestehende Vorhersage) – Investitionsrahmen erholt
Bloomberg Konsens US ISM Mfg Aug 2026: 48,8 Punkte (Stand 22. August 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

[Vorzeitig entschieden] ISM Manufacturing PMI August 2026 = 54,6 Punkte (Quelle: ISM Institute / PR Newswire). 54,6 > 49,0.

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