US Conference Board Consumer Confidence July 2026 (release July 28, 2026) at 95.0 points or above
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 26. July 2026
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Predicted for 28. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
The Conference Board releases the Consumer Confidence Index for July 2026 on the last Tuesday of the month, July 28, 2026. Conflicting forces shape the picture: on one hand, the active US-Iran war (since July 2026) and stubborn inflation (US CPI 4.2% y/y); on the other, a still-solid labor market (unemployment rate 4.3%, 172,000 new jobs in May). The threshold of 95 points is deliberately below the long-term average (~100) but appropriately reflects geopolitical uncertainty. No Polymarket or Kalshi data available for this specific indicator; own assessment based on current macro data.
Data basis for this prediction
- US CPI Mai 2026: 4,2 % y/y (BLS, Stand 26. Juli 2026)
- US Arbeitslosenquote Juni 2026: 4,3 % (BLS, Stand 26. Juli 2026)
- US-Iran-Krieg aktiv seit Juli 2026; Waffenstillstand de facto ausgesetzt (Reuters/AFP, 26. Juli 2026)
- Conference Board Release-Termin: letzter Dienstag des Monats = 28. Juli 2026 (Conference Board Kalender)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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