📈 Economy · Next Month

US July 2026 Jobs Report (BLS, August 7, 2026): Nonfarm Payrolls exceed 80,000 new jobs

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 18. July 2026 · Predicted for 7. August 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

72%

The US labor market has been resilient throughout 2026: June added 172,000 jobs (vs 85,000 consensus), unemployment at 4.3%. The 80,000 threshold is well below the six-month trend. Risks: energy sector layoffs at lower WTI prices (this platform predicts WTI >$80/bbl on July 22 — moderate oil prices), Iran conflict dampening capital investment. Even a significant labor market slowdown is unlikely to breach 80,000. No specific Polymarket market for July 2026 NFP available.

Data basis for this prediction

BLS Employment Situation Juni 2026: +172.000 NFP vs. 85.000 Konsens, Arbeitslosigkeit 4,3 % (bls.gov/news.release)
BLS Veröffentlichungsplan: Arbeitsmarktbericht Juli 2026 am 7. August 2026, 08:30 Uhr ET (bls.gov/schedule)
Financecalendar.com: US Employment Situation (NFP) August 2026 Release Details
Signalpro: NFP Juli 2026 Veröffentlichung 7. August 2026 (signalpro.markets)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

Related Predictions

📈 Economy ✦ AI

Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) beats Q2 2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $2.86 per share (report: July 22, 2026)

Alphabet reports Q2 2026 on July 22 after US market close. Consensus is approx. $2.86 adjusted EPS (+23.8% YoY). Google Cloud grew 63% YoY in Q1 2026, quarterly backlog doubled to $460B, and Cloud operating margin expanded from 17.8% to 32.9%. GenAI product revenue grew ~800% YoY per IG International. 43 of 53 analysts rate 'Strong Buy' (avg. target $428, KeyBanc $445). No Polymarket market found; fundamental baseline is exceptionally strong.

78%

Next Week · Predicted for 22. Jul 2026

📈 Economy ✦ AI

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) beats Q3 FY2026 adjusted EPS consensus of approx. $1.88 per share (report: July 30, 2026)

Apple reports Q3 FY2026 on July 30 after market close. Consensus is approx. $1.88 adjusted EPS (+19.8% YoY vs. $1.57 in Q3 FY2025). Apple has beaten EPS consensus in each of the last four consecutive quarters. Services growth and device demand are strong; the stock is up ~20% YTD in 2026. No Polymarket market found; historical beat rate and structural Services tailwind support the forecast.

72%

Next Month · Predicted for 30. Jul 2026

📈 Economy ✦ AI

UK headline Consumer Price Index (CPI, ONS) for June 2026 at 3.0% year-on-year or above (release July 22, 2026, 7:00 AM GMT)

ONS releases UK headline CPI for June 2026 on July 22 at 7:00 AM GMT. The prior reading (May 2026) was 2.8% YoY (ONS). Given structurally elevated services inflation — consensus for UK Services CPI June is ≥3.5% — and still-strong wage dynamics, the headline rate is expected to rise above 3.0% in June. The Bank of England cut rates to 3.75% without declaring inflation beaten. No Polymarket market found.

65%

Next Week · Predicted for 22. Jul 2026