📈 Economy · Tomorrow

United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS) beats adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $1.65 in Q2 2026 results (28 July 2026, before market open, confirmed by UPS press release)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 27. July 2026 · Predicted for 28. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

60%

UPS reports Q2 2026 before market open on 28 July. Consensus (24 analysts, alphastreet): $1.65–1.66 EPS (+6.5% YoY), revenue consensus $21.75bn (+2.5% YoY). UPS beat consensus in 3 of the last 4 quarters (75% beat rate) with an average positive surprise of +10.6%. Headwinds: extensive restructuring (headcount reductions, network optimisation, Amazon volume reduction) and softer US industrial parcel volume growth. No Polymarket market found; own estimate balancing beat rate vs. restructuring risks ~60%.

Data basis for this prediction

alphastreet.com: UPS Q2 2026 EPS-Konsens 1,66 USD, Umsatz 21,84 Mrd. USD (27. Juli 2026)
Zacks / Yahoo Finance: UPS 75 % Beat-Rate (3/4 Quartale), avg. positive EPS-Überraschung +10,6 % (27. Juli 2026)
247wallst.com: 'Five Biggest Earnings Reports to Watch This Week' – UPS unter den Top 5 (26. Juli 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

UPS meldete am 28. Juli 2026 vor Börseneröffnung einen bereinigten Non-GAAP-EPS von 1,76 USD je Aktie und übertraf damit den Konsens von ca. 1,65–1,66 USD deutlich (+6,0 % Überraschung). Auch der Umsatz (22,8 Mrd. USD) lag klar über dem Konsens von 21,75–21,81 Mrd. USD. Trotz erheblicher Restrukturierungskosten (891 Mio. USD nach Steuern für Stellenabbau/Driver-Choice-Programm) schlug UPS die Erwartungen und hob die Jahresprognose an. Quelle: UPS-Pressemitteilung (investors.ups.com, 28.07.2026) sowie CNBC, StockTitan, BusinessWire.

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