📈 Economy · Next Week

United Parcel Service Inc. (NYSE: UPS) beats Q2 2026 adjusted EPS consensus of ~$1.65 per share (July 28, 2026, before market open)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 21. July 2026 · Predicted for 28. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

63%

UPS reports on July 28 before market open. Analysts expect adjusted EPS of ~$1.65 (YoY +6.5% vs. $1.55 in Q2 2025). The macro backdrop supports: FactSet records S&P 500 Q2 2026 earnings growth of 23.6% — the second straight quarter above 20%. UPS benefits from e-commerce volumes and structurally improved utilization after renegotiating the USPS contract. Historical beat rate ~65%. No Polymarket anchor; calibrated on sector trend and historical hit rate.

Data basis for this prediction

UPS Q2-2026-Ergebnis-Datum 28. Juli bestätigt (UPS Newsroom/Morningstar, 14.07.2026)
EPS-Konsens ca. 1,65 USD, +6,5 % YoY (Yahoo Finance/TipRanks, 21.07.2026)
S&P-500-Gewinnwachstum Q2 2026: 23,6 % — zweites Quartal über 20 % (FactSet, 21.07.2026)
UPS historische Beat-Rate: ca. 65 % (MarketBeat, 21.07.2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

UPS meldete am 28. Juli 2026 (vor Börseneröffnung) ein bereinigtes EPS (Non-GAAP) von 1,76 USD je Aktie – deutlich über dem Konsens von ca. 1,65–1,68 USD. Das entspricht einem Beat von rund 6–7 %. Zusätzlich übertraf der Umsatz mit 22,8 Mrd. USD (+7,6 % YoY) die Erwartungen, und UPS hob die Jahresprognose auf ~7,22 USD bereinigtes EPS an. Quellen: investors.ups.com (Pressemitteilung Q2 2026), Alphastreet, Yahoo Finance, CNBC.

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