United Parcel Service Inc. (NYSE: UPS) beats Q2 2026 adjusted EPS consensus of ~$1.65 per share (July 28, 2026, before market open)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 21. July 2026
·
Predicted for 28. July 2026
·
Based on: Historical Cycle
UPS reports on July 28 before market open. Analysts expect adjusted EPS of ~$1.65 (YoY +6.5% vs. $1.55 in Q2 2025). The macro backdrop supports: FactSet records S&P 500 Q2 2026 earnings growth of 23.6% — the second straight quarter above 20%. UPS benefits from e-commerce volumes and structurally improved utilization after renegotiating the USPS contract. Historical beat rate ~65%. No Polymarket anchor; calibrated on sector trend and historical hit rate.
Data basis for this prediction
- UPS Q2-2026-Ergebnis-Datum 28. Juli bestätigt (UPS Newsroom/Morningstar, 14.07.2026)
- EPS-Konsens ca. 1,65 USD, +6,5 % YoY (Yahoo Finance/TipRanks, 21.07.2026)
- S&P-500-Gewinnwachstum Q2 2026: 23,6 % — zweites Quartal über 20 % (FactSet, 21.07.2026)
- UPS historische Beat-Rate: ca. 65 % (MarketBeat, 21.07.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Eli Lilly reports on August 5, 2026. The EPS consensus per Hudson Labs is ~$8.89 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS. Eli Lilly has beaten estimates for eight consecutive quarters, driven by explosive growth of Mounjaro (tirzepatide, diabetes/GLP-1) and Zepbound (obesity). The GLP-1 segment grows double-digits and routinely outpaces analyst estimates. No Polymarket market available; assessment based on ~85–90% historical beat rate over the last 8 quarters. Risk: potential supply constraints or price pressure from IRA negotiations.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Intel reports after market close on July 23, 2026. Alphastreet consensus is ~$0.21 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS on revenue of $14.42B. Intel has beaten estimates four consecutive quarters and is in a turnaround phase with growing AI infrastructure (Gaudi, Xeon) bookings. Analyst expectations remain conservative after a long negative streak, offering upside surprise potential. No Polymarket market available; probability based on ~60–65% historical beat rate over the last 12 quarters and positive sector dynamics this quarter (GE Aerospace: +37% EPS beat on July 22, 2026).
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Gold closed at approx. $4,144–4,152/oz on July 22, 2026 (Trading Economics) — a multi-week high driven by safe-haven demand (US-Iran tensions, Strait of Hormuz) and USD weakness (EUR/USD 1.1411). Reaching $4,200 by July 31 requires ~+1.2% gain. Supporting factors: daily momentum +1.81% on July 22, WTI oil also surging (+3–4%, $84–88), geopolitics remaining elevated. Countering: Gold could consolidate after the rally; US GDP data (July 30) could strengthen the dollar. No specific Polymarket/Kalshi market for Gold >$4,200 by July 31 found; internal estimate based on trend extrapolation, implied volatility (XAU IV ~13%) and macro environment.