UK Consumer Price Index August 2026 (ONS, Sep. 16, 2026): Annual rate below 3.0%
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 23. August 2026
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Predicted for 16. September 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
The ONS releases UK CPI for August 2026 on September 16, 2026. Market consensus: 2.9% YoY (Investing.com) — the first sub-3.0% reading in over a year. The Bank of England has signaled a rate cut to 3.50% on September 17 (existing Cassandra prediction), presupposing declining inflation. Drivers: fading energy base effects, softer services wage growth. Risk: sticky services inflation (~5%) could push the reading to 3.0%+ (~32% upside probability).
Data basis for this prediction
- Investing.com Konsens UK CPI August 2026: 2,9% YoY (uk.investing.com, recherchiert 23.08.2026)
- Bank of England Leitzins aktuell: 3,75%; Markterwartung Senkung auf 3,50% am 17.09.2026
- ONS CPI-Veröffentlichungstermin August 2026: 16. September 2026 (uk.investing.com/economic-calendar)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] UK CPI August 2026 = 3,1% YoY – liegt über 3,0%. Die Vorhersage 'Jahresrate unter 3,0%' ist damit nicht eingetreten. Quelle: TradingEconomics / ONS.
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