📈 Economy · Next Week

UK GDP May 2026 (ONS, publication 16 July 2026, 07:00 BST): Monthly change positive (MoM above 0.0%)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 14. July 2026 · Predicted for 16. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

67%

The market consensus (Trading Economics / Investing.com) expects +0.1% MoM for May 2026 – a technical rebound after April's –0.1% MoM decline. April weakness reflected temporary headwinds (Easter, weather) viewed as one-off. Q1 2026 was robust at +0.6% QoQ. With a consensus of +0.1% and a typical standard deviation for monthly UK GDP data of ~0.2%, the statistical probability of a positive reading is ~67%. No existing platform prediction covers UK GDP for May 2026.

Data basis for this prediction

UK GDP April 2026 (ONS): –0,1 % MoM – Rückgang nach Q1-Stärke (ons.gov.uk, veröffentlicht Jun 2026)
Marktkonsens UK GDP Mai 2026: +0,1 % MoM (Trading Economics / Investing.com, 14.07.2026)
UK Q1 2026 BIP: +0,6 % QoQ – robuste Basis (ONS, Apr 2026)
ONS Veröffentlichungstermin GDP Monthly Estimate UK Mai 2026: 16. Juli 2026, 07:00 BST (ons.gov.uk/releases)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

[Vorzeitig entschieden] UK-BIP Mai 2026 MoM: +0,1 % (positiv), veröffentlicht ONS am 16. Juli 2026. Quelle: ONS GDP monthly estimate May 2026

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