⚽ Sports · Next Week

UFC Vegas 121: Raul Rosas Jr. defeats Raoni Barcelos in the bantamweight main event (Meta Apex, Las Vegas, September 26, 2026, confirmed by UFC.com or ESPN by September 27, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 22. September 2026 · Predicted for 26. September 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

65%

Raul Rosas Jr. enters as a clear betting favorite at −210 (normalized ~65% win probability after vig removal) in the bantamweight main event at UFC Vegas 121 on September 26, 2026. He rides a five-fight win streak, most recently dominating Rob Font with 16 takedowns. Raoni Barcelos also brings five straight wins, which compresses the thin-volume Polymarket market (only $22K) to near-even odds—not a reliable signal. Deep-liquidity sportsbook lines (MMAOddsBreaker, bestfightodds) price the bout −210/+177 in favor of Rosas Jr. Bookmaker odds imply ~65% for Rosas Jr.

Data basis for this prediction

bestfightodds.com 22.09.2026: Rosas Jr. −210, Barcelos +177
MMAOddsBreaker Opening Odds UFC Vegas 121 (22.09.2026): Rosas Jr. klarer Favorit
Polymarket UFC-Bantamweight-Markt Vegas 121: Barcelos 51 %, Rosas Jr. 50 % ($22K Vol., 22.09.2026)
docsports.com Predictions UFC Vegas 121 (22.09.2026): Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos Hauptkampf bestätigt

Verdict: Hit

Raul Rosas Jr. besiegte Raoni Barcelos tatsächlich im Bantamgewichts-Hauptkampf der UFC Vegas 121 am 26. September 2026 in der Meta Apex, Las Vegas – per TKO (Slam) in Runde 5 bei 1:38. Die Vorhersage trat damit vollständig ein. Quellen: Yahoo Sports (https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/ufc-vegas-121-results-raul-024948453.html), CageSidePress (https://cagesidepress.com/2026/09/26/ufc-vegas-121-sheer-carnage-scary-finish-as-raul-rosas-jr-defeats-raoni-barcelos/), Sherdog (https://www.sherdog.com/news/news/UFC-Vegas-121-Rosas-Jr-vs-Barcelos-playbyplay-results-round-scoring-202961)

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