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UEFA Champions League 2026/27 MD2: AS Roma loses to Real Madrid at home (Stadio Olimpico, Rome, October 14, 2026, confirmed by UEFA.com or ESPN by October 15)
Probability
57%
Real Madrid convincingly won UCL MD1 vs Inter Milan 2-1 (September 8, 2026). AS Roma only drew 1-1 with Fenerbahçe in UCL MD1 (September 9). On October 14 Real Madrid travels to the Stadio Olimpico as the away side. Despite Roma's home advantage, Los Blancos are the clear favorite: significantly superior squad, more UCL experience, and a historically strong away record in the competition. Real Madrid's UCL away win rate vs comparable opposition: historically ~55–60%. FOX Sports and UEFA.com already list the match in their schedules. Aggregate bookmaker odds imply ~57% for a Real Madrid away win. No direct Polymarket market for this UCL MD2 fixture found.
Data basis for this prediction
- UEFA.com: Real Madrid – Inter Mailand 2:1, UCL MD1, 08.09.2026
- UEFA.com: Fenerbahçe – AS Roma 1:1, UCL MD1, 09.09.2026
- UCL MD2 Spielplan: AS Roma vs. Real Madrid, 14.10.2026, 21:00 Uhr CEST (FOX Sports, UEFA.com, realmadrid.com)
- Aggregierte Buchmacherquoten: Real-Madrid-Auswärtssieg UCL ~57 % (Oddschecker, 15.09.2026)
Verdict: Hit
Die Vorhersage ist eingetreten. AS Roma verlor das Heimspiel am 14. Oktober 2026 gegen Real Madrid mit 3:4 (Stadio Olimpico). Trotz einer 3:1-Führung für Roma in der zweiten Halbzeit erzielte Real Madrid drei Tore in sieben Minuten (83./85./90. Minute), alle nach Eckstoßsituationen – Espí (83'), Endrick (85'), Rüdiger (90'). Quellen: ESPN (espn.com/soccer/match/_/gameId/401915414), TNT Sports, Al Jazeera, realmadrid.com.