💻 Technology · Next Month

Uber Technologies Inc. (NYSE: UBER) beats Q2-2026 adjusted non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $0.84 per share (approx. 5 August 2026, confirmed by Uber press release)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 26. July 2026 · Predicted for 5. August 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

70%

Uber's Mobility and Delivery segments are growing strongly, supported by Autonomous Vehicle partnerships (Waymo in San Francisco and Los Angeles). Management guided non-GAAP EPS of $0.78–$0.82; consensus sits at $0.84, already above the guidance range. Uber has beaten the EPS consensus in each of the past five quarters (100% beat rate). No Polymarket quote; calibrated on historical beat pattern and trip-volume growth.

Data basis for this prediction

TipRanks: Uber Technologies Q2 2026 Earnings, EPS-Konsens $0.84
Uber Non-GAAP EPS Guidance Q2 2026: $0.78–$0.82 (Uber Q1-2026-Pressemitteilung)
Uber-Waymo AV-Partnerschaft San Francisco/LA (Uber Pressemitteilung 2025)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

Uber meldete am 5. August 2026 einen Non-GAAP-EPS von 0,81 USD für Q2 2026 – deutlich unter dem in der Vorhersage genannten Konsens von ~0,84 USD. Das tatsächliche Ergebnis lag innerhalb der eigenen Management-Guidance (0,78–0,82 USD) und entsprach in etwa dem (offenbar nach unten revidierten) Markterwartungswert von ~0,80–0,81 USD, wurde also nicht übertroffen. Zwar schlug Uber den GAAP-EPS-Konsens deutlich (1,17 USD vs. 0,83 USD erwartet), doch die Vorhersage bezog sich explizit auf den Non-GAAP-EPS-Konsens von 0,84 USD, den Uber mit 0,81 USD verfehlte. Zusätzlich enttäuschte der Q3-Ausblick laut Medienberichten die Erwartungen, was den Aktienkurs vorbörslich unter Druck setzte. Quellen: https://investor.uber.com/news-events/news/press-release-details/2026/Uber-Announces-Results-for-Second-Quarter-2026/default.aspx | https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/uber-q2-2026-earnings-guidance-111918644.html | https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-uber-posts-mixed-q2-2026-results-as-stock-falls-premarket-93CH-4837671

Related Predictions

💻 Technology ✦ AI

Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE: PLTR) closes above $185.00 per share on at least one trading day in November 2026 — confirmed by Nasdaq or Bloomberg by December 1, 2026

PLTR closed at $175.40 on November 4, 2026 (after-hours: $170.88, -2.58%; intraday high: $176.54; 52-week high: $212.94). Palantir clearly beat Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus: total revenue $2.313B, US Commercial revenue +148% YoY to $984M. The $185 threshold is +5.5% above the closing price or +8.3% above after-hours levels. Typical post-earnings 'sell the news' may weigh short-term, but the 52-week high of $212.94 confirms the level is reachable. NVIDIA earnings on November 18, 2026 could serve as a sector-wide catalyst. No direct Polymarket equivalent; own estimate: ~42%.

42%

Next Month · Predicted for 30. Nov 2026

💻 Technology ✦ AI

Cerebras Systems (NASDAQ: CBRS) closes below $100.00 per share on November 10, 2026 (confirmed by Nasdaq or Bloomberg by November 11, 2026)

CBRS trades at $109.18 (October 30, 2026) — already 61% below its all-time high of $279.72. The final and largest lockup expiration is scheduled for November 10, 2026: approximately 19.4 million shares are unlocked (of three tranches of 19.4M each). Prior lockup tranches have consistently weighed on the stock. Insiders have sold ~$394.6M in shares since the May 2026 IPO — zero insider purchases. A Culper Research short-seller report has triggered multiple investigations. A close below $100 requires a ~8.4% decline — plausible given the expected supply pressure on expiration day.

62%

Next Week · Predicted for 10. Nov 2026

💻 Technology ✦ AI

ARM Holdings plc (NASDAQ: ARM) beats Q2-FY2027 EPS consensus of $0.47 per share — earnings report November 4, 2026 after market close (confirmed by ARM Holdings Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 5, 2026, 10:00 AM ET)

ARM Holdings reports Q2 FY2027 (July–September 2026) on November 4 after market close. EPS consensus: $0.47; revenue consensus ~$1.38B (Theta Research, Oct 29). ARM is the dominant CPU IP licensor for AI servers (Neoverse), smartphones (Apple A-series, Qualcomm), and edge devices — all three segments scaling strongly in 2026. ARM has beaten EPS consensus in each of the last four quarters, driven by AI infrastructure capex. No direct Polymarket contract; analogue: S&P 500 Q3 2026 beat rate ~71%. Key risks: export control escalation (UK/US vs. China), hyperscaler capex delays, or HBM4 demand plateau.

68%

Next Week · Predicted for 4. Nov 2026