Uber Technologies Inc. (NYSE: UBER) beats Q2-2026 adjusted non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $0.84 per share (approx. 5 August 2026, confirmed by Uber press release)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 26. July 2026
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Predicted for 5. August 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Uber's Mobility and Delivery segments are growing strongly, supported by Autonomous Vehicle partnerships (Waymo in San Francisco and Los Angeles). Management guided non-GAAP EPS of $0.78–$0.82; consensus sits at $0.84, already above the guidance range. Uber has beaten the EPS consensus in each of the past five quarters (100% beat rate). No Polymarket quote; calibrated on historical beat pattern and trip-volume growth.
Data basis for this prediction
- TipRanks: Uber Technologies Q2 2026 Earnings, EPS-Konsens $0.84
- Uber Non-GAAP EPS Guidance Q2 2026: $0.78–$0.82 (Uber Q1-2026-Pressemitteilung)
- Uber-Waymo AV-Partnerschaft San Francisco/LA (Uber Pressemitteilung 2025)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
Uber meldete am 5. August 2026 einen Non-GAAP-EPS von 0,81 USD für Q2 2026 – deutlich unter dem in der Vorhersage genannten Konsens von ~0,84 USD. Das tatsächliche Ergebnis lag innerhalb der eigenen Management-Guidance (0,78–0,82 USD) und entsprach in etwa dem (offenbar nach unten revidierten) Markterwartungswert von ~0,80–0,81 USD, wurde also nicht übertroffen. Zwar schlug Uber den GAAP-EPS-Konsens deutlich (1,17 USD vs. 0,83 USD erwartet), doch die Vorhersage bezog sich explizit auf den Non-GAAP-EPS-Konsens von 0,84 USD, den Uber mit 0,81 USD verfehlte. Zusätzlich enttäuschte der Q3-Ausblick laut Medienberichten die Erwartungen, was den Aktienkurs vorbörslich unter Druck setzte. Quellen: https://investor.uber.com/news-events/news/press-release-details/2026/Uber-Announces-Results-for-Second-Quarter-2026/default.aspx | https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/uber-q2-2026-earnings-guidance-111918644.html | https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-uber-posts-mixed-q2-2026-results-as-stock-falls-premarket-93CH-4837671
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Apple unveiled the iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max and iPhone Duo (first foldable iPhone, A20 Pro chip, 2nm) on 9 September 2026 at the 'Surprise and Shine' event. Apple's shipping pattern has been highly consistent since 2016: announcement Tuesday → pre-orders the following Friday (12 September) → first deliveries exactly 10 days after announcement (19 September). Historical deviations from this pattern: none since 2020.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
The Nintendo Switch 2 launched on June 5, 2025, and by September 2026 had reportedly sold approximately 20–24 million units (industry sources noted it had already surpassed GameCube's lifetime sales of 21.74M). Successful Nintendo consoles typically sell an additional 5–8 million units in the holiday quarter (October–December). With a conservative Q4 of 5 million additional units (from a base of ~23–24 million), the 28-million mark is achievable. No Polymarket quote; Metaculus implies ~52% at this threshold.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Apple follows its established chip refresh cycle: M4 MacBook Pro announced November 2024 — M5 refresh after 23–24 months in October/November 2026 fits the historical pattern exactly (M1→M2: ~17 months; M2→M3: ~16 months; M3→M4: ~14 months). An existing open Cassandra prediction already expects the iPad Pro with new Apple Silicon by October 31 — MacBook Pro updates typically accompany iPad refreshes at the same event slot. 9to5Mac and Bloomberg reported M5 MacBook Pro leaks for H2 2026. Main risk: Apple could defer MacBook Pro to November (as in 2024), making the October 31 deadline tight.