Central Bank of Turkey (TCMB) holds one-week repo rate unchanged at 37.00% at 10 September 2026 meeting (confirmed by TCMB press release by 10 September 2026)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 5. September 2026
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Predicted for 10. September 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Turkey's central bank has kept its key rate at 37.00% for multiple consecutive meetings – fourth consecutive hold through July 2026. The TCMB recently raised its 2026 year-end inflation forecast to 24% (from 16%) and projects full-year inflation of 26%. These signals indicate a continued restrictive stance without imminent rate cuts. No explicit Polymarket/Kalshi market for TCMB decisions; estimate based on the consistent hold pattern and elevated inflation projections.
Data basis for this prediction
- TCMB: Leitzins seit vierter Sitzung in Folge unverändert bei 37,00% – zuletzt Juli 2026 (TCMB.gov.tr)
- TCMB: Jahresinflationsprognose 2026 auf 24% erhöht (zuvor 16%), Erwartung 26% Jahresinflation (Reuters, August 2026)
- TCMB Ratssitzungskalender 2026: Nächste planmäßige Sitzung 10. September 2026 (TCMB.gov.tr)
- Bloomberg-Ökonomen-Konsens: Haltung TCMB bei 37,00% im September 2026 als Basiserwartung
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Türkische Zentralbank (TCMB) hat den Einwöchigen Repo-Satz am 10. September 2026 unverändert bei 37,00 % belassen (5. Sitzung in Folge ohne Änderung). Bestätigt durch TCMB-Pressemitteilung ANO2026-23 und Turkish Minute.
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✦ AI
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