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Treasury Wine Estates reports FY2026 (ending June 30, 2026) underlying EBIT of at least AUD 478 million on August 13, 2026
Probability
78%
TWE has reiterated its FY2026 EBIT guidance of AUD 480–490M multiple times, most recently in the Q2 2026 interim update. The AUD 478M threshold is just below the guidance floor (AUD 480M). Key risks — Penfolds sales in China (post-2024 tariff removal) and US restructuring after H1 impairment — are already factored into guidance. Positive depletions trends are viewed as a stabilization signal. 14 analysts: Buy, avg. target AUD 5.43. Fiscal year ended June 30, 2026; results on August 13, 2026. No prediction market found.
Data basis for this prediction
- TWE FY2026-EBIT-Guidance: AUD 480–490 Mio. (Treasury Wine Estates IR, mehrfach bestätigt 2026)
- TWE FY2026-Ergebnistermin: 13. August 2026 (MarketScreener Kalender)
- TWE H1 FY2026: Guidance bestätigt, positive Depletions (Wine-Intelligence / Capital Brief, 2026)
- TWE Kurs 4.–8. Juli 2026: 4,49–4,57 AUD; 14 Analysten Ø-Kursziel 5,43 AUD (Kalkine/StockAnalysis)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Treasury Wine Estates meldete am 13. August 2026 für FY2026 (Ende 30. Juni 2026) einen underlying EBIT (EBITS) von 492,3 Mio. AUD – damit wurde nicht nur die Prognoseschwelle von 478 Mio. AUD übertroffen, sondern auch die kommunizierte Guidance-Obergrenze von 490 Mio. AUD. Haupttreiber war das starke Abschneiden von Penfolds insbesondere im Q4. Quellen: Investing.com ('Treasury Wine FY 2026 slides: EBITS ahead') und MarketScreener ('Treasury Wine Estates Limited Reports Earnings Results for the Full Year Ended June 30, 2026').