⚽ Sports · Next Month

Tour de France 2026, Stage 19 (Gap–Alpe d'Huez, 128 km, July 25): Tadej Pogačar wins the summit finish

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 12. July 2026 · Predicted for 25. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

50%

After Stage 9, Pogačar leads the overall by 2:42 over Vingegaard (source: NBC Sports TdF 2026 standings). Stage 19 on July 25 is the first of a double Alpe d'Huez summit finish (128 km from Gap) — an iconic climb where Pogačar has historically attacked. With a comfortable GC lead, he may either ride controlled or attack for the stage win. Counterweights: Vingegaard (+2:42), del Toro (+3:27), Evenepoel (+3:30) could also attack. No Polymarket market for individual TdF stages. Historical Alpe d'Huez winners are almost always top GC riders.

Data basis for this prediction

NBC Sports / Cyclingnews: TdF-2026-GC nach Etappe 9: Pogačar +0:00, Vingegaard +2:42, del Toro +3:27 (12.07.2026)
Domestique Cycling: Etappe 19, Gap–Alpe d'Huez, 128 km, 25.07.2026 (Streckenprofil)
Racing Post / Intervals.icu: TdF-2026-Gesamtfavoriten-Quoten: Pogačar 1,29

Verdict: Hit

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Pogačar gewann Etappe 19 (Gap–Alpe d'Huez) am 24. Juli mit Solo-Attacke und neuem Streckenrekord, bestätigt von NBC Sports, CyclingUpToDate, The National News.

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