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⚽ Sports · Next Month

Tour de France 2026, Stage 19 (Gap–Alpe d'Huez, 127.9 km, July 24, 2026): Tadej Pogačar (UAE Team Emirates) wins the mountain stage at Alpe d'Huez

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 14. July 2026 · Predicted for 24. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern
Probability
55%

Stage 19 (127.9 km) traverses Col Bayard (5.1 km/7.2%), Col du Noyer (7.2 km/8.5%), Col d'Ornon (5.4 km/6.2%) before the summit finish on Alpe d'Huez (13.8 km/8.1%, 21 hairpins). Pogačar leads the GC after Stage 12 by +2:42 over Vingegaard (P2) and +3:27 over Isaac del Toro (P3). For the first time in Grand Tour history, both Stage 19 and Stage 20 summit-finish on Alpe d'Huez — Pogačar will claim at least one. Stage 19 is shorter and more explosive (puncheur profile); Stage 20 (July 25) is already separately predicted for Pogačar. With a +2:42 GC lead he has no need to defend.

Data basis for this prediction
  • TdF 2026 Stage 19 Profil: Gap–Alpe d'Huez 127,9 km, Col du Noyer 8,5 % (CyclingStage/ProCyclingStats)
  • TdF 2026 Back-to-Back Alpe d'Huez: Etappen 19+20 als historisches Grand-Tour-Novum (GranFondoGuide)
  • TdF 2026 GC-Standings nach Etappe 12: Pogačar +2:42 auf Vingegaard (Cyclingnews, 14.07.2026)
  • TdF 2026 Etappe 20 (Alpe d'Huez, 25. Juli) separat für Pogačar prognostiziert (Cassandra.news)
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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