⚽ Sports · Next Week

Tom Pidcock (INEOS Grenadiers) wins Tour de France 2026 Stage 13 (Dole–Belfort, 205.8 km, July 17, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 14. July 2026 · Predicted for 17. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

22%

Stage 13 (205.8 km, longest of the Tour) finishes after the Ballon d'Alsace (Cat 1, 8.7 km, avg 6.9%, max 8.8%) via a long fast technical descent to Belfort. Cyclingstage.com lists Pidcock as a Tier-1 favourite: 'This is just the sort of day Tom Pidcock relishes.' Wet conditions expected – Pidcock's speciality. Other Tier-1 contenders: Alaphilippe, Mohoric, Vacek. Wout van Aert absent injured. GC riders will ride defensively. No Polymarket market. Pidcock individual win probability: ~22% in an open breakaway field.

Data basis for this prediction

Cyclingstage.com TdF 2026 Stage 13 Favorites – Pidcock als Tier-1-Favorit (Juli 2026)
Velo Outside: Stage 13 Preview – Ballon d'Alsace, 205,8 km, technischer Abstieg (2026)
TdF Stage 13 Route Dole–Belfort 17. Juli – cyclingstage.com / procyclingstats.com (2026)
TdF 2026 GC Standings nach Stage 9: Pogačar führt, Vingegaard +2:42 (Cyclingnews, Juli 2026)

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Tom Pidcock gewann Etappe 13 der Tour de France 2026 nicht. Sieger war Mathieu van der Poel (Alpecin). Quellen: ProCyclingStats, Cyclingnews

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