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Tom Pidcock wins Tour de France 2026 Stage 9 (Malemort–Ussel, 185.5 km) from a breakaway

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 11. July 2026 · Predicted for 12. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

12%

Stage 9 (185.5 km, ~3,300m, shortened due to red-alert heatwave) is a classic breakaway stage. Tom Pidcock (Olympic MTB gold, Amstel Gold Race 2022) is perfectly suited; he's not in GC contention (Pogačar leads +2:42 over Vingegaard) and has full attacking freedom. Other contenders: Egan Bernal, Tobias Johannessen, Lennert van Eetevelt. Aggregated bookmaker odds imply ~12% for Pidcock.

Data basis for this prediction

TdF 2026 GC nach Etappe 8: Pogačar +2:42 auf Vingegaard (NBC Sports, 11.07.2026)
Etappe 9: 185,5 km, 3.300 Hm, Suc au May als einzige Bergwertung (cyclingstage.com)
Stage 9 Favoriten: Pidcock, Bernal, Johannessen, van Eetevelt – Ausreißer-Bingo (cyclinguptodate.com, 11.07.2026)
Stage 8: Ausreißer in letzten 2 km eingeholt; Stage 9 sollte Breakaway gehören (cyclingnews.com, 10.07.2026)

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Tim Merlier siegte im Massensprint, nachdem van der Poels Ausreißerversuch kurz vor Ussel eingeholt wurde. Pidcock gewann nicht aus dem Ausreißer. Quelle: NBC Sports – 'Merlier sprints to victory in Tour de France Stage 9 after van der Poel's breakaway is thwarted'; Cyclingnews

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