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📈 Economy · Tomorrow

Texas Instruments Inc. (NASDAQ: TXN) beats Q2 2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of ~$1.92 (July 22, 2026, after market close)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 21. July 2026 · Predicted for 22. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
73%

TXN reports Q2 2026 results on July 22 after market close. Consensus EPS is $1.92 (Zacks: $1.91), with company guidance of $1.77–$2.05. Estimates rose 22.3% over the past 90 days, signaling positive demand trends in the Analog semiconductor segment. Polymarket prices ~80.5% probability that TXN generates >$4.0B Analog revenue — a broad beat indicator. TXN has beaten EPS consensus in 14 of the last 16 quarters. Automotive and industrial demand are recovering cyclically.

Data basis for this prediction
  • TXN Q2 2026 Konsens-EPS $1,92, Guidance $1,77–$2,05, Bericht 22.07. (Alphastreet, 21.07.2026)
  • Polymarket: ~80,5 % für TXN Analog-Umsatz >$4 Mrd. Q2 2026 (Stand 21.07.2026)
  • Schätzungsrevision +22,3 % in 90 Tagen; Beat-Quote 14/16 Quartale (Zacks/MarketBeat, 21.07.2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit
Texas Instruments berichtete am 22. Juli 2026 nach Börsenschluss ein Non-GAAP EPS von 2,14 USD – deutlich über dem Konsens von ~1,92 USD (Beat von +11,5 %). Der Umsatz lag bei 5,46 Mrd. USD (+23 % YoY), ebenfalls über den Erwartungen von ca. 5,24 Mrd. USD. Treiber waren starkes Wachstum in den Segmenten Industrial, Automotive und Data Center. Quelle: stocktitan.net (TXN Q2 2026 Earnings Report) und prnewswire.com (TI Q2 2026 Pressemitteilung).
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US Consumer Price Index (headline CPI) for October 2026 exceeds 3.7 percent year-on-year — BLS release November 10, 2026, 8:30 AM ET (confirmed by BLS or Bloomberg by November 10, 2026, 10:00 AM ET)

The BLS releases October 2026 CPI on November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Nowflation forecasts 3.82 percent YoY; the Cleveland Fed nowcasting model forecasts 3.74 percent — both clearly above the 3.7 percent threshold. The September 2026 prior reading was exactly 3.7 percent. Rising energy prices (Strait of Hormuz effectively closed since mid-October) and stable core inflation support a further uptick. An existing open platform prediction covers CPI >3.5%; this forecast raises the bar by 20 basis points. A miss would primarily require unexpected weakness in the energy component or food prices.

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Gold (XAU/USD Spot) closes above $4,400 per ounce on 31 December 2026 (confirmed by Bloomberg or Kitco by 1 January 2027)

Gold (XAU/USD) rose to $4,134.83 on 5 November 2026 — driven by the Democratic midterm sweep (higher fiscal spending expected) and persistent inflation pressure. Kalshi's Dec 31 settlement market shows ~32% probability for a close above $4,400 and ~43% for above $4,300. Reaching the $4,400 year-end target would require a further ~6.4% gain. Supporting factors: fiscal expansion, geopolitical risks, structurally high central bank demand; UBS forecasts $4,800, JPMorgan $6,000 at year-end. Headwind: hawkish Fed stance (Polymarket: 72.5% for a December rate hike to 4.00–4.25%). Prediction anchors on Kalshi's ~32% for >$4,400.

32%
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Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO) beats Q1 FY2027 EPS consensus of $1.32 per share — earnings release November 11, 2026 after market close (confirmed by Cisco Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 12, 2026, 10:00 AM ET)

Cisco has beaten Non-GAAP EPS consensus in 7 of its last 8 quarters. For Q1 FY2027 (August–October 2026) the company itself guided $1.32–$1.34 per share — the market consensus of $1.32 sits at the bottom of this self-guided range, which historically signals a beat for Cisco (Q4 FY2026: $1.22 vs. consensus $1.17). AI-networking growth, Splunk integration synergies, and record Q4 FY2026 revenue ($17.25B) confirm the structural growth momentum. Q1 FY2027 revenue consensus: $18.11B (within guidance range $18.0–18.2B).

80%
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