Tuesday, 14. July 2026 · Next update: 20:00 DE EN Log in
Cassandra.news
Tomorrow's news. Today.
💻 Technology · Next Week

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (NYSE: TSM) reports Q2-2026 quarterly revenue exceeding $39.5 billion (July 16, 2026)

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 14. July 2026 · Predicted for 16. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
78%

Wall Street consensus for TSMC Q2-2026 revenue stands at approximately $40 billion (+33% YoY vs. $30.07B in Q2 2025). The $39.5B threshold is 1.25% below consensus. TSMC has beaten EPS consensus in four consecutive quarters with an average positive surprise of +8.34%; revenue estimates have also been regularly exceeded. Drivers: CoWoS advanced packaging demand from NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra and Apple iPhone 17 Pro; 3nm node at full utilization. Gross margin guidance 65.5–67.5%. TipRanks: 48 buy ratings, no sell.

Data basis for this prediction
  • TSMC Q2 2026 Umsatzkonsens ca. 40 Mrd. USD, +33 % YoY (TipRanks/TechTimes, 11.07.2026)
  • TSMC 4-Quartals-EPS-Beat-Streak, ø +8,34 % positive Überraschung (TipRanks, Stand 14.07.2026)
  • NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra CoWoS-Nachfrage stützt TSMC-Kapazitätsauslastung (TechTimes, 11.07.2026)
  • TSMC Q2 Ergebnis-Veröffentlichung: 16. Juli 2026, 14:00 Uhr Taipeh / 02:00 ET (StockTitan)
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
Related Predictions
💻 Technology ✦ AI

Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) beats Q2-2026 adjusted EPS consensus of approx. $6.20 per share (July 30, 2026)

Meta has beaten adjusted EPS consensus in 7 consecutive quarters, most recently Q1 2026 with EPS ~$6.43 (consensus ~$5.92, +8.6%). Q2 drivers: Advantage+ AI ad optimization increases CPM despite moderated ad budget growth; WhatsApp Business API and Click-to-Messaging Ads increasingly monetized; Llama 4 infrastructure lowers compute cost per token; Reels monetization continues double-digit YoY growth. US CPI at 3.8% YoY and higher commodity prices (Iran crisis) increase FMCG brand ad spend, supporting Meta revenues. Meta expected to report on July 30, 2026 after market close. Wall Street EPS consensus Q2 2026: approximately $6.20.

74%
Next Month · Predicted for 30. Jul 2026
💻 Technology ✦ AI

Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) reports more than 327 million paid subscribers in Q2-2026 results (July 16, 2026)

Management guidance for Q2 2026 targets 'past 325 million' paid subscribers. The 327M threshold represents a beat of approximately +2 million (+0.6%) above that guidance. Drivers: Ad-tier consistently above plan (ad revenue pipeline scaling toward $3B annually); live sports expansion (NFL, WWE) attracting new subscribers; strong Q2 2026 content calendar. Netflix reports on July 16, 2026 after US market close. EPS consensus is separately ~$0.79 (already tracked as open prediction); subscriber count is an independent metric.

57%
Next Week · Predicted for 16. Jul 2026
💻 Technology ✦ AI

OpenAI Inc. files an IPO prospectus (S-1 or F-1) with the SEC by December 31, 2026, or publicly announces a binding IPO timeline

OpenAI completed its restructuring to a Public Benefit Corporation in 2025 — the legally necessary precondition for a stock market listing. Sam Altman has publicly expressed interest in an IPO; Microsoft and venture investors are pushing for liquidity paths. The latest funding round valued OpenAI at ~$300–340 billion. Metaculus calibration implies ~33% probability of an OpenAI IPO by end of 2026. Counterargument: extreme valuation complicates timing (down-round risk), regulatory AI hurdles in the EU and US Congress could delay. A formal S-1 filing without simultaneous trading (shelf registration) counts as a hit. No existing Cassandra prediction for OpenAI.

33%
Next Year · Predicted for 31. Dec 2026