Tadej Pogačar (UAE Team Emirates) wins Stage 18 of the Tour de France 2026 (Voiron–Orcières-Merlette, 185.2 km, July 23, 2026)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 16. July 2026
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Predicted for 23. July 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
Stage 18 (July 23, 2026) runs from Voiron to Orcières-Merlette (185.2 km) with a mountain top finish at a ski resort at 1,850m. The profile includes Col de Manse and Col du Festre plus the final climb (7.1 km at 6.7% average). Pogačar is the dominant climber of TdF 2026 (predictions for stage wins 14, 15, 19, and 20 plus GC on the platform). Stage 18 opens the Alpine finale trilogy and features an identical demand profile. Main competition: Jonas Vingegaard (Trek-Segafredo) and Remco Evenepoel (Soudal Quick-Step, predicted for ITT Stage 16). Implied market probability for Pogačar at alpine mountain-top finishes: 35–45%. No direct Stage 18 market found; estimate conservatively set at 38%, as breakaway/attack scenarios from other riders (Vingegaard, Evenepoel) remain realistic.
Data basis for this prediction
- TdF 2026 Stage 18: Voiron–Orcières-Merlette, 185,2 km, Bergankunft 1.850m (ProCyclingStats / CyclingStage.com)
- Col de Manse + Col du Festre Etappenprofil (velo.outsideonline.com Stage 18 Preview)
- Offene Plattformvorhersagen: Pogačar Etappensiege 14, 15, 19, 20 + Gesamtsieg TdF 2026 (Cassandra.news)
- Finalanstieg Orcières-Merlette: 7,1 km / 6,7% Ø (Cyclingstage.com Route 2026)
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Etappe 18 TdF 2026 (Voiron–Orcières-Merlette): Tadej Pogačar gewann NICHT. Victor Campenaerts siegte aus der Ausreißergruppe. Quelle: BBC Sport, cyclingweekly.com, escapecollective.com
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⚽ Sports
✦ AI
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