Tadej Pogačar wins Tour de France 2026 Stage 14 (Mulhouse–Le Markstein, 155 km, 3,941m, July 18)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 11. July 2026
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Predicted for 18. July 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
Stage 14 packs 3,941m of climbing — Col du Haag (11.2 km, 7.3%), Côte de Geishouse, summit finish at Le Markstein (>10% final km). Pogačar leads GC (+2:42 over Vingegaard) and KOM (28 pts). He is the field's dominant climber. Aggregated bookmakers imply 58-65% for Pogačar on summit finishes. Only threats: tactical conservation (already won Stage 10) or Vingegaard counter.
Data basis for this prediction
- TdF 2026 GC nach Etappe 8: Pogačar +2:42 auf Vingegaard; del Toro +3:27, Evenepoel +3:30 (NBC Sports, 11.07.2026)
- TdF 2026 Bergwertung: Pogačar 28 Pkt (1.), Vingegaard 19 Pkt (2.) (intervals.icu, 11.07.2026)
- Etappe 14 Profil: Mulhouse–Le Markstein, 155,3 km, 3.941 Hm (procyclingstats.com / cyclingstage.com)
- Stage-Profil: Col du Haag 11,2 km/7,3 %, Le Markstein-Finish >10 % letzter Steilabschnitt
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Identisches Ereignis: Pogačar gewann die Bergankunft der Etappe 14 (Mulhouse–Le Markstein, 155 km, 3.941 Hm). Bestätigt durch VAVEL und procyclingstats.com.
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