Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) beats Q3-FY2026 adjusted non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $0.66 per share (29 July 2026, after market close, confirmed by Starbucks press release)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 26. July 2026
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Predicted for 29. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
CEO Brian Niccol has run the 'Back to Starbucks' turnaround since September 2024 (store optimisation, menu simplification, culture reset). The consensus of $0.66 implies +32% YoY growth. Starbucks has beaten the EPS consensus in four of the past five quarters (80% beat rate). Lower commodity prices (coffee) and early same-store-sales recovery in US core markets support a beat. No Polymarket quote; calibrated on historical beat pattern.
Data basis for this prediction
- Investing.com: Starbucks Earnings Date 29.07.2026, EPS-Konsens $0.66
- EPS YoY-Wachstum +32 % (Analystenkonsens Stand Juli 2026)
- Starbucks CEO Brian Niccol 'Back to Starbucks' Strategie (September 2024)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Starbucks meldete am 29. Juli 2026 nach Börsenschluss einen bereinigten Non-GAAP-EPS von 0,85 USD – ein deutlicher Beat gegenüber dem Konsens von 0,66 USD (+28,8 %). Der GAAP-EPS lag bei 0,91 USD. Zusätzlich hob das Unternehmen die Jahresprognose für den bereinigten EPS auf 2,55–2,65 USD an (zuvor 2,25–2,45 USD). Die Aktie stieg im Nachhandel um ~4,3 %. Quellen: Nasdaq-Pressemitteilung (investor.starbucks.com), CNBC Q3-2026-Bericht, Yahoo Finance / Barchart Earnings-Snapshot.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The S&P 500 dropped 4.36% on 5 November 2026 to 7,353.73 — its steepest one-day fall since April 2025 — triggered by an AI-chip selloff that wiped out the post-midterm rally (4 November: +1.72% to 7,698.80). Closing above 7,500 by 13 November requires a +2.0% recovery over 6 trading sessions. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan maintain year-end targets of 7,400–8,100; S&P 500 EPS growth consensus for 2026 stands at +14% YoY. Downside risks: elevated Treasury yields, persistent AI capex uncertainty. No specific Polymarket/Kalshi market found for this level.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The BLS releases October 2026 CPI on November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Nowflation forecasts 3.82 percent YoY; the Cleveland Fed nowcasting model forecasts 3.74 percent — both clearly above the 3.7 percent threshold. The September 2026 prior reading was exactly 3.7 percent. Rising energy prices (Strait of Hormuz effectively closed since mid-October) and stable core inflation support a further uptick. An existing open platform prediction covers CPI >3.5%; this forecast raises the bar by 20 basis points. A miss would primarily require unexpected weakness in the energy component or food prices.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Gold (XAU/USD) rose to $4,134.83 on 5 November 2026 — driven by the Democratic midterm sweep (higher fiscal spending expected) and persistent inflation pressure. Kalshi's Dec 31 settlement market shows ~32% probability for a close above $4,400 and ~43% for above $4,300. Reaching the $4,400 year-end target would require a further ~6.4% gain. Supporting factors: fiscal expansion, geopolitical risks, structurally high central bank demand; UBS forecasts $4,800, JPMorgan $6,000 at year-end. Headwind: hawkish Fed stance (Polymarket: 72.5% for a December rate hike to 4.00–4.25%). Prediction anchors on Kalshi's ~32% for >$4,400.