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💻 Technology · Next Week

SpaceX Starship Flight 13: Booster successfully caught via Mechazilla arms by 22 July 2026

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 18. July 2026 · Predicted for 22. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event
Probability
60%

SpaceX targeted Starship Flight 13 for July 20, 2026 (22:45 UTC) from Starbase. Two Raptor-3 engines were swapped in mid-July after failures, raising delay risk. Empirical booster-catch success rate from Flights 10-12: ~75%. Adjusted for ~20% delay risk past July 22: ~60% net probability. No active Polymarket market found.

Data basis for this prediction
  • SpaceX Starship Flight 13 – geplant 20. Juli 2026, Raptor-3-Austausch bestätigt (Space.com, 17. Juli 2026)
  • Starship Flights 10–12: Booster-Fang dreimal erfolgreich (SpaceX, 2025–2026)
  • Polymarket: Kein aktiver Starship Flight 13 Markt verfügbar (18. Juli 2026)
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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