💻 Technology · Next Week

SpaceX Starship IFT-13 (launch July 23, 2026): Upper stage Ship 30 survives reentry and completes controlled splashdown in the Indian Ocean off Western Australia (confirmed via SpaceX webcast)

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 21. July 2026 · Predicted for 24. July 2026 · Based on: Speculative

Probability

58%

Starship IFT-13 launches July 23, 2026 from 22:45 UTC at Starbase Texas. Per SpaceX mission profile, Ship 30 should complete a controlled splashdown in the Indian Ocean off Western Australia ~65 min after launch, following an in-space Raptor relight and landing flip maneuver. This forecast is complementary to existing predictions (booster droneboat in Gulf of Mexico; Starlink V3 suborbital deployment). No Polymarket market found for Ship splashdown specifically. IFT-12 (Nov. 2025) first achieved successful Ship reentry; IFT-13 must repeat it under a more complex payload profile with 20 Starlink V3 satellites deployed suborbital. Success probability increased but Ship reentry remains technically demanding.

Data basis for this prediction

SpaceX IFT-13: Ship 30 Ziel-Splashdown Indischer Ozean, 65 min nach Start (space.com, 21.07.2026)
SpaceX Startfenster 23.07.2026, 22:45 UTC (spacelaunchschedule.com)
IFT-13 Payload: 20 Starlink-V3-Satelliten, suborbital (space.com)
IFT-13 Erststart 16. Juli abgebrochen; Neustart 23. Juli bestätigt (space.com, 20.07.2026)

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

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