SpaceX Starship Flight 13 launches successfully and deploys V3 Starlink satellites as planned by 1 September 2026 (confirmed by SpaceX press release or NASA)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 25. August 2026
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Predicted for 1. September 2026
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Based on: Speculative
SpaceX Starship Flight 13 is reportedly imminent as of 25 August 2026 (Space.com) and carries real V3 Starlink payloads for the first time. Flight 12 (22 May 2026) was largely successful. SpaceX improves reliability consistently across the test flight series; after 12 flights the system is markedly more mature. Full mission success (satellite deployment + booster return) is the most demanding criterion. Risks: new payload type, thermal shield performance on re-entry. No prediction market quotes; model assigns 60% probability for fully successful mission.
Data basis for this prediction
- Space.com: Starship Flight 13 mit V3-Starlinks, Start unmittelbar bevorstehend (25. Aug. 2026)
- Wikipedia: Starship Flight Test 12, 22. Mai 2026, weitgehend erfolgreich
- Next Spaceflight: Starship Flight 13 Missionsvorschau (Aug. 2026)
- Wikipedia: Starship Propellant Transfer Demonstration – Flight 14 für Sep. 2026 geplant
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] SpaceX Starship Flight 13 startete am 24. Juli 2026 um 17:51 Uhr CT von Starbase, Texas, und deployete erfolgreich 20 V3-Starlink-Satelliten – deutlich vor dem Stichtag 1. September 2026. Quelle: Space.com / Wikipedia.
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