📈 Economy · Next Week

S&P Global US Flash Manufacturing PMI July 2026 (July 24, 2026) prints below 49.0 points

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 20. July 2026 · Predicted for 24. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

62%

The US manufacturing sector has been under pressure since January 2026 due to Trump tariffs (average 28% on all imports, Peterson Institute). S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI June 2026: 47.9 — seventh consecutive month below 50. ISM Manufacturing PMI June: 48.5. New orders and employment in the sector continue to weaken. The services sector (already open prediction: >52.5) remains clearly expansionary — the classic bifurcation of the US economy in 2026. Without a tariff pause, a jump above 49 within one month is unlikely.

Data basis for this prediction

S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI Juni 2026: 47,9 Pkt. (S&P Global, 1. Juli 2026)
ISM Manufacturing PMI USA Juni 2026: 48,5 Pkt. (ISM, 1. Juli 2026)
US-Durchschnittszoll 2026: ~28% auf alle Importe (Peterson Institute, April 2026)
7 Monate Kontraktion US-Manufacturing in Folge (Bloomberg, Juli 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

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