📈 Economy · Next Week

S&P 500 (^GSPC) closes above 7,550 points on July 31, 2026

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 21. July 2026 · Predicted for 31. July 2026 · Based on: Speculative

Probability

50%

The S&P 500 closed at ~7,437 on July 20. The week of July 28–31 sees five of the largest US tech companies report: MSFT (Jul 29), META (Jul 29), AMZN (Jul 30), AAPL (Jul 30), and GOOGL (Jul 22). Polymarket prices MSFT beat at 93%, GOOGL at 97%. Additional macro catalysts: US Q2 GDP Advance Estimate (Jul 30, open prediction: >7% annualized), Eurostat Flash GDP (Jul 30), and FOMC (Jul 29, hold expected). Reaching 7,550 requires ~+1.5%. Counterrisk: 'buy the rumor, sell the news' after already elevated expectations.

Data basis for this prediction

S&P 500 Schlussstand 20.07.2026: ca. 7.437 Punkte (Bloomberg)
Polymarket: MSFT 93 %, GOOGL 97 % EPS-Beat-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Stand 21.07.2026)
US BIP Q2 2026 Advance Estimate: 30. Juli (BEA); FOMC 29. Juli (Fed)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

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