📈 Economy · Next Week

S&P 500 (^GSPC) closes above 7,780 points on August 28, 2026 (post-earnings and post-Jackson Hole rally)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 22. August 2026 · Predicted for 28. August 2026 · Based on: Speculative

Probability

48%

On August 28, 2026, the Fed Chair speech takes place in Jackson Hole (Kevin Warsh, rate pause for September signaled per open Cassandra prediction). Following NVDA/Salesforce/CrowdStrike earnings on August 26 (all with beat predictions open), S&P 500 per open prediction already sits above 7,750 by August 27. A further +0.4% gain on Jackson Hole day to 7,780 is plausible on a dovish signal. As of August 20: 7,641 points. Polymarket prices Fed September pause at 71%. Counterrisk: 'sell the news' after Warsh speech.

Data basis for this prediction

S&P 500 Schlussstand 20. August 2026: 7.641,16 Punkte (Yahoo Finance Historical Data)
Polymarket FOMC September 2026 Hold-Wahrscheinlichkeit: 71% (Stand 22.08.2026)
Offene Vorhersagen: S&P 500 >7.750 am 27. Aug.; S&P 500 >7.800 am 5. Sep. (Cassandra.news)
Offene Vorhersage: Warsh signalisiert Zinspause 28.08., 10Y-Treasury-Rendite fällt >5bp (Cassandra.news)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] S&P 500 schloss bei ca. 7.674–7.737 Punkten und damit unterhalb der geforderten Schwelle von 7.780. Quelle: Yahoo Finance.

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