📈 Economy
· Next Week
S&P 500 (^GSPC) closes above 7,700 on July 22, 2026, driven by Alphabet and Tesla earnings reaction
Probability
41%
S&P 500 traded at ~7,515–7,630 on July 14. On July 22, Alphabet (consensus ~$2.10 EPS) and Tesla (consensus ~$0.28 EPS) both report — each independently predicted to beat in open predictions. Samsung Galaxy Unpacked on July 22 adds positive tech-sector sentiment. A move to 7,700 requires +1–2.5% from current levels. Plausible on a dual-beat, but not certain given the Hormuz crisis and elevated inflation (June CPI YoY 3.8%). No Polymarket quote.
Data basis for this prediction
- Bloomberg: S&P 500 bei 7.515–7.630 (14.07.2026)
- Investing.com: US-CPI Juni 2026 YoY 3,8 % (Veröffentlichung 14.07.2026)
- Alphabet Q2-Konsens ca. 2,10 USD EPS (offene Cassandra-Vorhersage)
- Tesla Q2-Konsens ca. 0,28 USD EPS (offene Cassandra-Vorhersage)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.