📈 Economy · Next Month

Snap Inc. (NYSE: SNAP) beats the adjusted EPS consensus of approx. $0.07 per share in its Q2 2026 results (August 3, 2026)

Partial Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 17. July 2026 · Predicted for 3. August 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

70%

Snap issued its own Q2 2026 EPS guidance of $0.09 per share — 29% above the Wall Street consensus of $0.07. The company beat both EPS and revenue in Q1 2026, with the stock rising sharply after those results. Snap+ (subscription segment) is growing at double digits; ad revenues benefit from industry-wide tailwinds (Meta, Alphabet also beat Q2 expectations). Management has historically guided conservatively and repeatedly beaten consensus. Revenue consensus for Q2: $1.53B (+14% YoY). No specific prediction market data available for Snap Q2.

Data basis for this prediction

Snap Q2-2026-Earnings-Termin: 3. August 2026 (StockTitan / WallStreetHorizon, Juli 2026)
Snap EPS-Konsens Q2 2026: 0,07 USD; Unternehmens-Guidance: 0,09 USD (MarketBeat / Nasdaq, Juli 2026)
Snap Q1 2026: schlug Erwartungen, Aktie stieg nach Earnings (Investing.com, Mai 2026)
Snap Umsatz-Konsens Q2 2026: 1,53 Mrd. USD +13,97% YoY (MarketBeat, Juli 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Partial Hit

Snap meldete am 3. August 2026 Q2-Ergebnisse und übertraf den Konsens bei Umsatz ($1,60 Mrd. vs. $1,53 Mrd. Konsens, +19 % YoY) und Adjusted EBITDA ($250 Mio. vs. $192 Mio. Konsens) deutlich – die Aktie stieg ~17 %. Jedoch war die Prämisse der Vorhersage fundamental falsch: Der tatsächliche EPS-Konsens war NICHT ca. +$0,07, sondern lag bei ca. -$0,11 bis -$0,12 (GAAP-Verlust). Das berichtete EPS war -$0,10 (Verlust), nicht annähernd ein positiver Wert. Die genannte Snap-Guidance von +$0,09 und der Wall-Street-Konsens von +$0,07 existierten offenbar nicht. Die meisten Quellen zeigen zwar ein EPS-Beat im Sinne von -$0,10 vs. -$0,12 (Investing.com, 247wallst.com), jedoch nennt ChartMill explizit ein 'Q2 EPS Miss' und auch Yahoo Finance titelt 'Snap Misses Q2 Earnings Estimates'. Die Vorhersage traf insofern zu, als Snap den Konsens breiter schlug und die Aktie stark stieg – aber die spezifische Behauptung (positiver EPS-Konsens $0,07, den Snap mit $0,09 schlägt) war sachlich falsch.

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