Scott Colom (D) wins 2026 Mississippi US Senate race (Class 3), defeating Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) — confirmed by AP or NBC News by November 20, 2026
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 11. November 2026
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Predicted for 20. November 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
In the Mississippi Senate race (Class 3), Democratic candidate Scott Colom holds a razor-thin lead of 65 votes out of ~945,600 counted over incumbent Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith, with 95% of votes counted (as of November 8, 2026; sources: ABC News, NBC News). The remaining ~47,800 ballots (5%) come predominantly from urban counties (Hinds, Rankin, Jackson County) that historically lean Democratic. An automatic recount (legally required when margin < 0.5%) is certain; a certified result is not expected before November 15–20. If outstanding ballots mirror the counted split, Colom wins. No Polymarket data available for this individual race; the razor-thin margin does not justify a probability above 55–58%.
Data basis for this prediction
- ABC News: 'Scott Colom leads Hyde-Smith by 65 votes, 95% counted' (8.11.2026)
- NBC News 2026 Senate Election Live Results: Mississippi (11.11.2026)
- CNBC Midterm Election Results 2026: Democrats win Senate majority, MS noch offen (11.11.2026)
- Mississippi Secretary of State: Automatische Nachzählung bei Marge < 0,5 %
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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