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⚽ Sports · Tomorrow

Rory McIlroy (Northern Ireland) misses the cut at the 154th Open Championship 2026 (Royal Birkdale, after Round 2, July 18, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 17. July 2026 · Predicted for 18. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern
Probability
63%

McIlroy shot 72 (+2) in Round 1 and sits T-114, eight shots off leader Jackson Suber (–5). Projected cut is +1; he must shoot at least 70 in R2. He ranked 155th out of 156 in Strokes Gained: Putting (six bogeys, repeated three-putt errors). Aggregate bookmaker odds imply ~55–60% for a McIlroy cut miss. Without a massive putting turnaround, advancing is unlikely.

Data basis for this prediction
  • Open Championship R1 Leaderboard: Suber –5 (1.), McIlroy +2 (T-114) – PGA Tour, 16. Juli 2026
  • Projizierter Cut: +1 (Open Championship Cut Tracker, Yahoo Sports, 17. Juli 2026)
  • McIlroy R1 SG Putting: Rang 155/156 (CBS Sports, 16. Juli 2026)
  • R2-Livebericht: McIlroy 'right on the bubble' (PGA Tour Live, 17. Juli 2026)
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Rory McIlroy überstand den Cut mit einer 67 in Runde 2, steht bei -1 – klar innerhalb der Cut-Linie von +1. Quelle: ESPN, PGA Tour (17. Juli 2026)
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