German 10-year Bund yield (DE10Y) closes above 3.30% on August 28, 2026 following the Warsh keynote at Jackson Hole (confirmed by Bloomberg or Bundesbank)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 27. August 2026
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Predicted for 28. August 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
German 10-year Bund yield stood at 3.25% on August 27, 2026 (tradingeconomics.com). Fed Chair Warsh delivers his first major Jackson Hole keynote on August 28 at 10:00 ET. Markets price ~one-in-three probability of a September rate hike. A hawkish signal would pull global yields higher; a 5bp move to 3.30% is consistent with the open US10Y >4.72% prediction for the same day. Historically, Bund yields move 5–15bp following Fed surprises within hours.
Data basis for this prediction
- DE10Y Rendite 27.08.2026: 3,25 % (+0,02 Pp. vs. Vortag) (tradingeconomics.com, Stand 27.08.2026)
- Jackson Hole 2026: Warsh-Keynote 28. August, 10:00 ET; Märkte ~33 % Sep-Zinserhöhung (intellectia.ai / regardsofwallstreet.com, Stand 27.08.2026)
- CNBC DE10Y Quote: 3.25% am 27.08.2026 (cnbc.com/quotes/DE10Y)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] DE10Y lag am 28. August bei ca. 3,20 % (Bloomberg/Marktdaten), deutlich unter der Schwelle von 3,30 %.
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