Rémy Cointreau SA (EPA: RCO) closes above €52.00 on 18 July 2026
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 11. July 2026
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Predicted for 18. July 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
Rémy Cointreau reports Q1 FY2026-27 results (April–June 2026) on 29 July 2026. The cognac specialist suffered heavy demand weakness from US import tariffs on cognac and subdued China demand; the share price corrected sharply from ~€85 (2024) to an estimated current range of €50–65. Pre-event buying ahead of 29 July Q1 numbers could generate moderate upward pressure. €52 is a conservative threshold at the lower end of the estimated price range. No Polymarket/Kalshi signal found.
Data basis for this prediction
- Rémy Cointreau Q1 FY2026-27 Ergebnistermin: 29. Juli 2026
- IWSR: US-Cognac-Zölle 10–20% seit 2025, belasten Rémy Cointreau Export (2026)
- Rémy Cointreau Kursentwicklung: Rückgang von ~€85 (2024) auf €50–65-Bereich (2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Rémy Cointreau schloss am 17. Juli bei ca. 43,60 EUR – deutlich unter dem Schwellenwert von 52 EUR (16 % darunter). Der 18. Juli ist ein Samstag. Quelle: Yahoo Finance
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✦ AI
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✦ AI
Analyst consensus for Q3 2026: EPS 0.2998 USD (~0.30 USD) with revenue of 2.49 billion USD (MarketBeat / TradingView, as of October 2026). Monster Beverage has beaten EPS consensus in a majority of recent quarters and continues to benefit from international market expansion in the energy drink segment. No active Polymarket or Kalshi market found for this event; beat probability estimated at ~65% based on historical beat rate and current consensus positioning.
🍾 Beverages
✦ AI
ICE Arabica (KC December 2026) last closed at ~315–320 US cents/lb ($3.15–3.20), near the year high (which briefly touched ~$3.50 in autumn 2024). The decisive structural driver: ICE-certified arabica warehouse stocks have fallen to a 27-year low (lowest since 1999); near-term replenishment is unlikely as no major harvests are imminent. A strengthened Brazilian real (~R$5.04/USD) reduces Brazilian producers' willingness to sell. November–December is the seasonal peak consumption month (Christmas trade). An intraday print above $3.50 requires a ~9–11% rise from current levels — entirely within range for a market with historically high volatility (~25–30% annualised). No Polymarket/Kalshi market exists; probability is based on fundamental analysis and volatility profile.