⚽ Sports · Next Week

Remco Evenepoel (Soudal Quick-Step) wins Tour de France 2026 Stage 16 ITT (Évian-les-Bains – Thonon-les-Bains, 26.1 km, July 21, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 15. July 2026 · Predicted for 21. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

33%

Stage 16 is the only individual time trial of the 2026 Tour: 26.1 km with the Cat. 2 Côte de Larringes (9.7 km @ 4.3%) early on, a technical descent, and a flat run-in. Cyclingstage.com names Evenepoel and Ganna as top favourites; the mixed profile suits Evenepoel over pure TT specialists. In the GC, he sits 4th (+3:30 on Pogačar), only 3 seconds behind del Toro (3rd, +3:27). A stage win would be tactically significant for his fight for the Paris podium (open prediction). Ganna and possibly Joshua Tarling are serious rivals. No Polymarket anchor.

Data basis for this prediction

TdF 2026 Stage 16 Favoriten: Evenepoel & Ganna (cyclingstage.com, Juli 2026)
TdF 2026 GC nach Etappe 12: Pogačar 1., del Toro 3. +3:27, Evenepoel 4. +3:30 (procyclingstats.com, 16. Juli 2026)
Stage 16 Profil: 26,1 km, 500 m Höhengewinn, Côte de Larringes Cat. 2 (velo.outsideonline.com)
Stage 16: Evian–Thonon, Einzelzeitfahren – Startzeit erster Fahrer 13:00 Uhr CEST (nbcsports.com/cycling)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Identische Begründung wie id 225: Evenepoel fährt 2026 für Red Bull–Bora–Hansgrohe. Die Vorhersage nennt explizit 'Soudal Quick-Step' als sein Team – das ist seit Saisonbeginn 2026 definitiv falsch.

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