⚽ Sports · Next Week

Remco Evenepoel (Red Bull–Bora–Hansgrohe, Belgium) wins Stage 16 of the Tour de France 2026 (Individual Time Trial, Évian-les-Bains–Thonon-les-Bains, 26.1 km, July 21, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 17. July 2026 · Predicted for 21. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

52%

Stage 16 is the only ITT of TdF 2026 — 26.1 km around Lake Geneva with the Côte de Larringes (9.4 km @ 4.3%) as the key climb. Evenepoel is widely regarded as the best active time trialist (World TT Champion). After Stage 12 he sits GC 3rd (Pogačar leads +3:36 over Vingegaard). Cycling analysts (Velo/Outside Online) rate Evenepoel as clear favourite; Pogačar and Vingegaard can also win TTs, limiting certainty. Bookmaker odds imply ~50–55% for Evenepoel. Neither Stage 16 nor the ITT result is captured in open predictions.

Data basis for this prediction

TdF 2026 Stage 16 Profil: Évian–Thonon 26,1 km ITT, 21. Juli (procyclingstats.com / cyclingstage.com)
Stage 16 Vorschau: Evenepoel Favorit für das TT am Genfer See (Velo / Outside Online, Juli 2026)
GC nach Etappe 12: Pogacar +3:36 vor Vingegaard, Evenepoel P3 (NBC Sports / Olympics.com, 17. Juli 2026)
Buchmacherquoten implizieren ~52% Evenepoel Etappensieg (aggregiert, 17. Juli 2026)

Verdict: Hit

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Remco Evenepoel gewann Etappe 16 ITT in 32:19, vor Pogačar (+28 s) und del Toro (+34 s). Quellen: Cyclingnews, ProCyclingStats

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