Qualcomm Inc. (NASDAQ: QCOM) beats the Q3 FY2026 earnings consensus (July 29, 2026, after market close) of approximately $2.23 non-GAAP EPS per share (confirmed by Qualcomm press release)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 25. July 2026
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Predicted for 29. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Qualcomm reports fiscal Q3 FY2026 (April–June 2026) on July 29. The Zacks consensus is $2.22–$2.23 non-GAAP EPS, a -19.9% YoY decline on revenue consensus of $9.68B. The decline reflects handset weakness due to US tariffs. However, Qualcomm employs conservative guidance mechanics and has beaten EPS estimates in 8 of the last 10 quarters. Snapdragon demand stabilization via AI handsets may enable a guidance beat. Own calibration: 60%.
Data basis for this prediction
- Qualcomm Q3 FY2026 Termin: 29. Juli 2026 nach Börsenschluss (Alphastreet, Juli 2026)
- Zacks-Konsens Q3 FY2026: $2,22–$2,23 Non-GAAP-EPS, –19,9 % YoY (Barchart, Juli 2026)
- Umsatzkonsens Q3 FY2026: $9,68 Mrd. (–6,6 % YoY) (Market Chameleon, Juli 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
Qualcomm berichtete am 29. Juli 2026 ein bereinigtes Non-GAAP-EPS von 2,21 USD – und verfehlte damit den Konsens von 2,23 USD um 0,02 USD (≈ –0,9 %). Quelle: offizielle Qualcomm-Pressemitteilung (qualcomm.com/news/releases/2026/07) sowie übereinstimmende Berichte von CNBC, Shacknews und Investing.com. Beim Umsatz schlug Qualcomm die Schätzungen (9,95 Mrd. USD ggü. erwartetem 9,68 Mrd. USD), doch die Vorhersage bezog sich explizit auf das Übertreffen des EPS-Konsenses – dies trat nicht ein. Der EPS-Rückgang reflektiert die schwache Handset-Sparte (Phone-Umsatz –20 % YoY infolge US-Zölle); der Automotive-Bereich legte zwar 61 % zu, konnte den Druck auf die Gesamtmarge nicht ausgleichen.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
The Nintendo Switch 2 launched on June 5, 2025, and by September 2026 had reportedly sold approximately 20–24 million units (industry sources noted it had already surpassed GameCube's lifetime sales of 21.74M). Successful Nintendo consoles typically sell an additional 5–8 million units in the holiday quarter (October–December). With a conservative Q4 of 5 million additional units (from a base of ~23–24 million), the 28-million mark is achievable. No Polymarket quote; Metaculus implies ~52% at this threshold.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Apple follows its established chip refresh cycle: M4 MacBook Pro announced November 2024 — M5 refresh after 23–24 months in October/November 2026 fits the historical pattern exactly (M1→M2: ~17 months; M2→M3: ~16 months; M3→M4: ~14 months). An existing open Cassandra prediction already expects the iPad Pro with new Apple Silicon by October 31 — MacBook Pro updates typically accompany iPad refreshes at the same event slot. 9to5Mac and Bloomberg reported M5 MacBook Pro leaks for H2 2026. Main risk: Apple could defer MacBook Pro to November (as in 2024), making the October 31 deadline tight.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Samsung announced Intelligent Eyewear for 'Fall 2026' at Galaxy Unpacked London (July 2026). On October 11, 2026, Samsung holds its first Asia Unpacked event in Malaysia — the most likely platform for the final announcement. Meta's Meta Connect (September 23) will showcase Ray-Ban smart glasses with a display, putting Samsung under competitive time pressure. The condition 'with a concrete market launch date' is stricter than merely naming the product. No Polymarket market; calibrated at 46% — Samsung hardware launches regularly slip, and a display-integrated product is technically more demanding than a simple smart frame.