Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE: PG) beats Q4 FY2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $1.42 per share (July 29, 2026, before market open)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 21. July 2026
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Predicted for 29. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
P&G (FY ends June 30) reports Q4 FY2026 before market open on July 29. Analyst consensus: $1.42 EPS (-4.1% YoY), revenue ~$21.41B (+2.5% YoY). No Polymarket market found; historical beat rate ~80–85% of quarters (analysts consistently set conservative estimates). The YoY EPS decline reflects higher input costs (partly Hormuz-driven) and FX headwinds; operating margin supported by ongoing productivity programs. Premium brands (Pampers, Tide, Gillette, SK-II) maintain pricing power. Volume flex remains modestly negative but sufficient for a slight EPS beat. The $1.42 benchmark appears conservatively set.
Data basis for this prediction
- P&G Q4 FY2026 Termin: 29. Juli 2026 (tikr.com)
- P&G EPS-Konsens $1,42 (-4,1% YoY); Umsatz $21,41 Mrd. (Yahoo Finance, Juli 2026)
- P&G historische Beat-Rate: ~80% (simplywall.st / investing.com, Juli 2026)
- P&G YoY EPS-Rückgang durch Rohstoffkosten und FX (investing.com, Juli 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
P&G meldete am 29. Juli 2026 vor Börseneröffnung einen bereinigten (Core) Non-GAAP-EPS von $1,43 für Q4 FY2026 – und übertraf damit den Analysten-Konsens von ca. $1,41–$1,42 je Aktie um $0,01–0,02. Der EPS-Beat trat trotz eines YoY-Rückgangs (~3% Core EPS) ein, was die historisch konservative Konsensansetzung durch Analysten bestätigt. Beim Umsatz ($21,2 Mrd.) verpasste P&G hingegen leicht die Erwartungen (~$21,41 Mrd.). Quellen: CNBC (cnbc.com/2026/07/29/procter-gamble-pg-q4-2026-earnings.html), P&G Investor Relations (pginvestor.com), SEC Form 8-K FY2026, Alphastreet Earnings Preview.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The S&P 500 closed at 7,636.36 on 9 September 2026. Falling below 7,450 by month-end would require a 2.4% decline. Headwinds: Fed rate hike of 25bp on 16 September (CentralBank.Watch: 59% probability), August PPI above expectations (+5.4% YoY), Iran-Gulf risk premium. Stabilizing factors: hike largely priced in (Polymarket: 93% for zero 2026 cuts), Q2 earnings solid, no recession signals. Historically, a single 25bp September hike rarely causes a monthly decline above 2.5%.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.