Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE: PG) beats the adjusted EPS consensus of approx. USD 1.42 per share in Q4 FY2026 earnings (29 July 2026, before market open)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 20. July 2026
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Predicted for 29. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
P&G reports on 29 July before market open. EPS consensus is ~USD 1.42, a conservative estimate reflecting FX and tariff headwinds vs. USD 1.48 in the prior year quarter (−4.1%). P&G beat consensus in over 90% of recent quarters through consistent pricing power (Pampers, Gillette, Tide, SK-II) and premium mix shift. Revenue consensus: ~USD 21.4B. Aggregate consumer staples beat rate in Q2/Q3 2026: ~70–72%. No specific Polymarket market for PG; implied 72%.
Data basis for this prediction
- Gurufocus.com: P&G Q4-FY2026 Earnings Call 29. Juli 2026 (Stand Juli 2026)
- Yahoo Finance: P&G Earnings Preview – EPS-Konsens 1,42 USD, Umsatz ~21,4 Mrd. USD (Stand Juli 2026)
- Tickeron.com: PG historische Beat-Rate Q4 2026
- SEC.gov: Procter & Gamble 8-K Dividend/Earnings Release Juli 2026
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
P&G berichtete am 29. Juli 2026 (vor Marktöffnung) für Q4 FY2026 ein bereinigtes Core-EPS von 1,43 USD – damit wurde der Konsens von ca. 1,41–1,42 USD knapp übertroffen (+0,01 bis +0,02 USD, ca. +0,7–1,4 %). Der EPS-Beat war jedoch schmal und durch Produktivitätseinsparungen getrieben, während der Umsatz mit 21,2 Mrd. USD den Konsens von 21,4 Mrd. USD verfehlte. Die Aktie fiel daraufhin im Vorbörshandel um rund 3 %. Quellen: TradingView/Zacks (https://www.tradingview.com/news/zacks:77e169d22094b:0-procter-gamble-q4-earnings-beat-on-productivity-sales-miss-estimates/), P&G Investor Relations (https://www.pginvestor.com/news/news-details/2026/PG-Announces-Fourth-Quarter-and-Fiscal-Year-2026-Results/default.aspx), Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/procter-gamble-q4-2026-earnings-114716017.html).
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The S&P 500 closed at 7,636.36 on 9 September 2026. Falling below 7,450 by month-end would require a 2.4% decline. Headwinds: Fed rate hike of 25bp on 16 September (CentralBank.Watch: 59% probability), August PPI above expectations (+5.4% YoY), Iran-Gulf risk premium. Stabilizing factors: hike largely priced in (Polymarket: 93% for zero 2026 cuts), Q2 earnings solid, no recession signals. Historically, a single 25bp September hike rarely causes a monthly decline above 2.5%.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.