Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE: PG) beats the adjusted EPS consensus of approx. USD 1.42 per share in Q4 FY2026 earnings (29 July 2026, before market open)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 20. July 2026
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Predicted for 29. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
P&G reports on 29 July before market open. EPS consensus is ~USD 1.42, a conservative estimate reflecting FX and tariff headwinds vs. USD 1.48 in the prior year quarter (−4.1%). P&G beat consensus in over 90% of recent quarters through consistent pricing power (Pampers, Gillette, Tide, SK-II) and premium mix shift. Revenue consensus: ~USD 21.4B. Aggregate consumer staples beat rate in Q2/Q3 2026: ~70–72%. No specific Polymarket market for PG; implied 72%.
Data basis for this prediction
- Gurufocus.com: P&G Q4-FY2026 Earnings Call 29. Juli 2026 (Stand Juli 2026)
- Yahoo Finance: P&G Earnings Preview – EPS-Konsens 1,42 USD, Umsatz ~21,4 Mrd. USD (Stand Juli 2026)
- Tickeron.com: PG historische Beat-Rate Q4 2026
- SEC.gov: Procter & Gamble 8-K Dividend/Earnings Release Juli 2026
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
P&G berichtete am 29. Juli 2026 (vor Marktöffnung) für Q4 FY2026 ein bereinigtes Core-EPS von 1,43 USD – damit wurde der Konsens von ca. 1,41–1,42 USD knapp übertroffen (+0,01 bis +0,02 USD, ca. +0,7–1,4 %). Der EPS-Beat war jedoch schmal und durch Produktivitätseinsparungen getrieben, während der Umsatz mit 21,2 Mrd. USD den Konsens von 21,4 Mrd. USD verfehlte. Die Aktie fiel daraufhin im Vorbörshandel um rund 3 %. Quellen: TradingView/Zacks (https://www.tradingview.com/news/zacks:77e169d22094b:0-procter-gamble-q4-earnings-beat-on-productivity-sales-miss-estimates/), P&G Investor Relations (https://www.pginvestor.com/news/news-details/2026/PG-Announces-Fourth-Quarter-and-Fiscal-Year-2026-Results/default.aspx), Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/procter-gamble-q4-2026-earnings-114716017.html).
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The S&P 500 dropped 4.36% on 5 November 2026 to 7,353.73 — its steepest one-day fall since April 2025 — triggered by an AI-chip selloff that wiped out the post-midterm rally (4 November: +1.72% to 7,698.80). Closing above 7,500 by 13 November requires a +2.0% recovery over 6 trading sessions. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan maintain year-end targets of 7,400–8,100; S&P 500 EPS growth consensus for 2026 stands at +14% YoY. Downside risks: elevated Treasury yields, persistent AI capex uncertainty. No specific Polymarket/Kalshi market found for this level.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The BLS releases October 2026 CPI on November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Nowflation forecasts 3.82 percent YoY; the Cleveland Fed nowcasting model forecasts 3.74 percent — both clearly above the 3.7 percent threshold. The September 2026 prior reading was exactly 3.7 percent. Rising energy prices (Strait of Hormuz effectively closed since mid-October) and stable core inflation support a further uptick. An existing open platform prediction covers CPI >3.5%; this forecast raises the bar by 20 basis points. A miss would primarily require unexpected weakness in the energy component or food prices.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Gold (XAU/USD) rose to $4,134.83 on 5 November 2026 — driven by the Democratic midterm sweep (higher fiscal spending expected) and persistent inflation pressure. Kalshi's Dec 31 settlement market shows ~32% probability for a close above $4,400 and ~43% for above $4,300. Reaching the $4,400 year-end target would require a further ~6.4% gain. Supporting factors: fiscal expansion, geopolitical risks, structurally high central bank demand; UBS forecasts $4,800, JPMorgan $6,000 at year-end. Headwind: hawkish Fed stance (Polymarket: 72.5% for a December rate hike to 4.00–4.25%). Prediction anchors on Kalshi's ~32% for >$4,400.