⚽ Sports · Next Week

Premier League MD5: Newcastle United FC defeats Hull City AFC at home (St. James' Park, Newcastle, September 19, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 17. September 2026 · Predicted for 19. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

58%

Newcastle United are home favorites, but Hull City are a surprisingly strong promoted side: the Tigers sit 3rd after four matchdays with 8 points (2 wins, 2 draws, including a 2–2 away at Chelsea) and are unbeaten just like Newcastle. Aggregated bookmaker odds imply Newcastle win probability ~62%, Hull City ~19%, draw ~23%. After adjusting for bookmaker margin and accounting for Hull's strong early-season form, the true Newcastle win probability is estimated at ~58%. Newcastle (5 points from 3 games, unbeaten) benefits from home advantage and superior squad quality; Hull City's manager faces their first away test against an established top-6 contender. No Cassandra contract covers this match.

Data basis for this prediction

Hull City PL 2026/27: Platz 3, 8 Punkte aus 4 Spielen, ungeschlagen (LatestLY/Wikipedia, 17.09.2026)
Newcastle United vs Hull City: aggregierte Buchmacherquoten implizieren ~62 % Newcastle-Sieg (BettingNews/FotMob, 17.09.2026)
Hull City 2:2 auswärts bei Chelsea, MD4 (Wikipedia 2026/27 Hull City season)
Newcastle United: 5 Punkte aus 3 Spielen, MD1–MD4 PL 2026/27

Verdict: Hit

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Newcastle United besiegte Hull City 2:0 im Heimspiel am 19. September 2026 (St. James' Park). Bestätigt durch Fotmob und mehrere weitere Quellen (givemesport.com, vavel.com).

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