Philip Morris International (NYSE: PM) beats Q2 2026 Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $2.04 per share (July 22, 2026, before market open)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 21. July 2026
·
Predicted for 22. July 2026
·
Based on: Historical Cycle
PMI reports Q2 2026 before market open on July 22. Zacks consensus: $2.04 (+6.8% YoY). IQOS volumes accelerating globally; Zil.nova gaining US traction. PMI beat adjusted EPS in all four prior quarters, avg. positive surprise 4.9% — no Polymarket market found, historical beat rate is primary anchor. After a $500M RBH charge, PMI already raised its FY2026 EPS outlook.
Data basis for this prediction
- Zacks/Yahoo Finance: PM Q2-2026-EPS-Konsens 2,04 USD, Ø 4,9 % Überraschung (Stand 21.07.2026)
- PMI hebt FY2026-Ausblick nach RBH-Sonderposten an (StockTitan/PM IR, 2026)
- IQOS-Volumen- und Marktanteilsgewinne weltweit: PMI Q1-2026-Ergebnispräsentation
- PMI 4 aufeinanderfolgende EPS-Beats (Zacks, 21.07.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Philip Morris meldete Q2-2026-EPS von 2,20 USD (bereinigt), deutlich über dem Konsens von ca. 2,04 USD. Quelle: SEC 8-K, MarketScreener, Seeking Alpha (22. Juli 2026).
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The BLS releases October 2026 CPI on November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Nowflation forecasts 3.82 percent YoY; the Cleveland Fed nowcasting model forecasts 3.74 percent — both clearly above the 3.7 percent threshold. The September 2026 prior reading was exactly 3.7 percent. Rising energy prices (Strait of Hormuz effectively closed since mid-October) and stable core inflation support a further uptick. An existing open platform prediction covers CPI >3.5%; this forecast raises the bar by 20 basis points. A miss would primarily require unexpected weakness in the energy component or food prices.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Gold (XAU/USD) rose to $4,134.83 on 5 November 2026 — driven by the Democratic midterm sweep (higher fiscal spending expected) and persistent inflation pressure. Kalshi's Dec 31 settlement market shows ~32% probability for a close above $4,400 and ~43% for above $4,300. Reaching the $4,400 year-end target would require a further ~6.4% gain. Supporting factors: fiscal expansion, geopolitical risks, structurally high central bank demand; UBS forecasts $4,800, JPMorgan $6,000 at year-end. Headwind: hawkish Fed stance (Polymarket: 72.5% for a December rate hike to 4.00–4.25%). Prediction anchors on Kalshi's ~32% for >$4,400.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Cisco has beaten Non-GAAP EPS consensus in 7 of its last 8 quarters. For Q1 FY2027 (August–October 2026) the company itself guided $1.32–$1.34 per share — the market consensus of $1.32 sits at the bottom of this self-guided range, which historically signals a beat for Cisco (Q4 FY2026: $1.22 vs. consensus $1.17). AI-networking growth, Splunk integration synergies, and record Q4 FY2026 revenue ($17.25B) confirm the structural growth momentum. Q1 FY2027 revenue consensus: $18.11B (within guidance range $18.0–18.2B).