🍾 Beverages · Next Month

Pernod Ricard S.A. (EPA: RI) reports FY2026 full-year results (~August 28, 2026) showing organic net revenue decline of more than 3.0% year-on-year (confirmed by Pernod Ricard press release)

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 24. July 2026 · Predicted for 28. August 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

62%

Pernod Ricard's fiscal year ends June 30, 2026; annual results are traditionally presented in late August. The company suffers from the same structural headwinds as the broader industry: Martell Cognac collapse in China (IWSR data: China Cognac market -25 to -30% YoY in FY2025), Jameson stagnation in the US, Absolut Vodka market share losses from premiumization weakness. FY2025 already showed organic decline of -4.1%. Parallel open predictions: Diageo FY2026 (>2% decline), Rémy Cointreau H1 FY2027 (>3% decline), Brown-Forman Q1 FY2027 (decline). No Polymarket data available; calibration based on industry trend.

Data basis for this prediction

Pernod Ricard FY2025: organischer Umsatzrückgang -4,1% (Pressemitteilung Pernod Ricard 2025)
China-Cognac-Markt: -25 bis -30% YoY FY2025 (IWSR / Bloomberg)
Diageo FY2026 Vorhersage: organischer Rückgang >2% (offene Vorhersage Cassandra.news)
Rémy Cointreau H1 FY2027: Rückgang >3% vorhergesagt (offene Vorhersage Cassandra.news)

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

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