Pernod Ricard S.A. (EPA: RI): Share price closes on August 28, 2026 more than 3.0% below the August 27, 2026 close (confirmed by Euronext Paris or Bloomberg)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 23. August 2026
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Predicted for 28. August 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
Pernod Ricard publishes FY2026 annual results on August 28, 2026. An open Cassandra forecast expects organic net revenue decline above 3.0%. Competitor Diageo reported a 2.0% decline on August 6, 2026, triggering a share price correction (refinedrinks.com). An even weaker Pernod result makes a negative market reaction realistic, though expectations may already be priced in — hence probability below 50%. Not an investment recommendation.
Data basis for this prediction
- Offene Cassandra-Prognose: Pernod Ricard FY2026 org. Umsatzrückgang >3 %, Veröffentlichung 28. August 2026
- Refinedrinks.com: Diageo FY2026 organic sales −2 %, Ergebnis 6. August 2026 — Sektor-Belastungstrend
- Euronext Paris: Pernod Ricard (RI.PA) Kursreaktion auf Ergebnistage 2022–2025 (Bloomberg-Archiv)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Pernod Ricard (EPA: RI) verlor am 28. August 2026 nur ca. 0,56 % gegenüber dem Schlusskurs vom 27. August – weit unter der Schwelle von mehr als 3 %. Quelle: Investing.com, Euronext Paris.
🍾 Beverages
✦ AI
Rémy Cointreau published its H1 FY2026/27 result on October 27, 2026: organic growth of +2.9 percent YoY for April–September 2026 — 90 basis points above this forecast's threshold. The company confirmed its FY2026/27 guidance ('gradual return to organic growth'). Q2 FY2026/27 (Jul–Sep): Cognac up 12 percent YoY. FY2025/26 full year: +0.2 percent organic ('in line with targets', Rémy IR, June 3, 2026). Achieving above 2.0 percent for the full year only requires H2 (Oct 2026–Mar 2027) to avoid a complete collapse — the 90-basis-point H1 buffer provides substantial safety margin. Risks: US demand weakness, Chinese Cognac tariffs, macro slowdown. Supporting: Rémy Martin premiumization strategy, confirmed guidance, strong Q2 momentum.
🍾 Beverages
✦ AI
After the record of 322 million bottles (2021), Champagne shipments are in structural decline: ~319 million in 2022, ~299 million in 2023 (CIVC). Continued luxury weakness in China (export volume –27% YoY H1 2026), rising input costs, and saturated key markets (USA, France, UK) point to further contraction. At –5 to –7% p.a. decline (2022–2025 trend), 2026 volume would be approximately 262–271 million bottles — well below the 280 million threshold. No prediction market signal available. Confirmed via CIVC annual report or Reuters by January 31, 2027.
🍾 Beverages
✦ AI
Analyst consensus for Q3 2026: EPS 0.2998 USD (~0.30 USD) with revenue of 2.49 billion USD (MarketBeat / TradingView, as of October 2026). Monster Beverage has beaten EPS consensus in a majority of recent quarters and continues to benefit from international market expansion in the energy drink segment. No active Polymarket or Kalshi market found for this event; beat probability estimated at ~65% based on historical beat rate and current consensus positioning.