📈 Economy · Next Week

PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ: PYPL) beats the adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of ca. $1.28 for Q2 2026 (July 28, after market close)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 20. July 2026 · Predicted for 28. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

47%

Analysts expect PYPL Q2 2026 adjusted EPS of ca. $1.28. Headwind: in Q1 2026 PayPal missed consensus ($1.271 actual vs. $1.34 expected) and guided for a 'high-single-digit' Q2 EPS decline from Q1 (~$1.16–1.17 implied) – well below the $1.28 bar. Tailwind: conservative guidance style plus potential upside from Venmo monetization and Braintree. Yahoo Finance explicitly asks 'Can PayPal Beat Amid Tougher Trends?' Beat probability ~47% (below base rate given negative guidance signal). No Polymarket market found.

Data basis for this prediction

MarketBeat: PYPL Q2 2026 Konsens $1,28 (Stand Juli 2026)
Yahoo Finance: 'Can PayPal Beat Its Q2 FY26 Expectations Amid Tougher Trends?' Juli 2026
TipRanks: PYPL Q2 2026 erwartet 28.07.2026 nach Börsenschluss
PYPL Q1 2026: $1,271 EPS actual vs. $1,34 erwartet (Miss)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

PayPal meldete am 28. Juli 2026 einen Non-GAAP EPS von 1,38 USD für Q2 2026 – ein deutliches Beat von +7,8 % gegenüber dem Konsens von 1,28 USD (Zacks). Umsatz lag mit 8,68 Mrd. USD ebenfalls 2 % über Erwartung. Die negative Guidance des Managements ('hohe einstellige' EPS-Verschlechterung ggü. Q1) trat nicht ein; stattdessen half starkes Wachstum bei Venmo (mid-teens TPV) und Braintree. Quellen: Yahoo Finance ('PayPal's Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates'), financefeeds.com, prnewswire.com (Pressemitteilung PayPal 28.07.2026).

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