PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ: PYPL) Beats Q2 2026 Adjusted EPS Consensus of Approx. $1.28 Per Share (July 28, 2026)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 18. July 2026
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Predicted for 28. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
PayPal reports Q2 2026 results on July 28. Analyst consensus sits at adjusted EPS of approx. $1.28, already reflecting management's guidance for a 'high-single-digit EPS decline' (~9% YoY). Context: PayPal's Q2 2025 benefited from a one-time partner renewal and favourable credit performance, raising the comparison base. Despite this structural headwind, US fintech stocks tend to beat after already-lowered expectations. PayPal beat consensus in Q1 2026. Without specific Polymarket/Kalshi quotes: calibrated at 60%.
Data basis for this prediction
- PayPal Q2-2026 EPS-Konsens: ca. 1,28 USD (MarketBeat/TipRanks, 18.07.2026)
- PayPal Q2-2026-Ergebnistermin: 28. Juli 2026 (investor.pypl.com)
- PayPal Management-Guidance Q2-2026: EPS-Rückgang ~9% YoY, Umsatz +niedrig-einstellig (Yahoo Finance, Mai 2026)
- PayPal Q1-2026-Ergebnis: bereinigter EPS-Beat vs. Konsens (Investing.com, Mai 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
PayPal meldete am 28. Juli 2026 ein bereinigtes EPS von 1,38 USD für Q2 2026 – damit wurde der Analystenkonsens von ca. 1,28 USD um rund 7,8 % übertroffen. Zusätzlich übertraf PayPal auch die Umsatzerwartungen (8,68 Mrd. USD vs. 8,47–8,51 Mrd. USD erwartet) und hob die Jahresprognose für das bereinigte EPS auf 5,38 USD an. Quellen: financefeeds.com ('PayPal Q2 2026: $1.38 EPS Beat'), Yahoo Finance, Benzinga, PR Newswire (offizielle Pressemitteilung vom 28. Juli 2026).
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✦ AI
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The BLS releases October 2026 CPI on November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Nowflation forecasts 3.82 percent YoY; the Cleveland Fed nowcasting model forecasts 3.74 percent — both clearly above the 3.7 percent threshold. The September 2026 prior reading was exactly 3.7 percent. Rising energy prices (Strait of Hormuz effectively closed since mid-October) and stable core inflation support a further uptick. An existing open platform prediction covers CPI >3.5%; this forecast raises the bar by 20 basis points. A miss would primarily require unexpected weakness in the energy component or food prices.
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✦ AI
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