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💻 Technology · Next Month

Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: PLTR) beats Q2 2026 Non-GAAP EPS consensus of ~$0.34 per share (reporting August 3, 2026, after market close, confirmed by Palantir press release)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 24. July 2026 · Predicted for 3. August 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
66%

Palantir reports August 3, 2026 after market close (BusinessWire, July 13, 2026). Consensus ~$0.34 Non-GAAP EPS. Palantir has beaten consensus in each of the last six quarters, driven by booming US government contracts (DoD AIP, CIA analytics), strong commercial growth (~35% YoY), and direct benefit from elevated US defense spending amid geopolitical tensions. No direct Polymarket odds; historical beat probability ~66%.

Data basis for this prediction
  • BusinessWire: Palantir kündigt Q2-2026-Ergebnisdatum 3. August an, 13. Juli 2026
  • CNBC: Palantir Q1 2026 beats consensus, 4. Mai 2026
  • Bloomberg: US-Verteidigungsausgaben KI-Kontrakte 2026
  • Seeking Alpha: PLTR Q2 2026 Earnings Preview

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit
Palantir berichtete am 3. August 2026 nach Börsenschluss einen bereinigten Non-GAAP-EPS von 0,41 USD – deutlich über dem Konsens von ~0,34 USD (~21 % Beat). Auch auf Revenue-Ebene massiver Schlag: 1,935 Mrd. USD (+93 % YoY), US-Commercial +149 % YoY. Das Unternehmen hob zudem die FY-2026-Umsatzprognose auf 8,15–8,16 Mrd. USD an. PLTR-Aktie stieg daraufhin ~29 %. Quellen: BusinessWire-Pressemitteilung (businesswire.com, 2026-08-02), CNBC Q2-Earnings-Bericht (cnbc.com, 2026-08-03), 247WallSt Earnings-Tracker.
Related Predictions
💻 Technology ✦ AI

Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE: PLTR) closes above $185.00 per share on at least one trading day in November 2026 — confirmed by Nasdaq or Bloomberg by December 1, 2026

PLTR closed at $175.40 on November 4, 2026 (after-hours: $170.88, -2.58%; intraday high: $176.54; 52-week high: $212.94). Palantir clearly beat Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus: total revenue $2.313B, US Commercial revenue +148% YoY to $984M. The $185 threshold is +5.5% above the closing price or +8.3% above after-hours levels. Typical post-earnings 'sell the news' may weigh short-term, but the 52-week high of $212.94 confirms the level is reachable. NVIDIA earnings on November 18, 2026 could serve as a sector-wide catalyst. No direct Polymarket equivalent; own estimate: ~42%.

42%
Next Month · Predicted for 30. Nov 2026
💻 Technology ✦ AI

Cerebras Systems (NASDAQ: CBRS) closes below $100.00 per share on November 10, 2026 (confirmed by Nasdaq or Bloomberg by November 11, 2026)

CBRS trades at $109.18 (October 30, 2026) — already 61% below its all-time high of $279.72. The final and largest lockup expiration is scheduled for November 10, 2026: approximately 19.4 million shares are unlocked (of three tranches of 19.4M each). Prior lockup tranches have consistently weighed on the stock. Insiders have sold ~$394.6M in shares since the May 2026 IPO — zero insider purchases. A Culper Research short-seller report has triggered multiple investigations. A close below $100 requires a ~8.4% decline — plausible given the expected supply pressure on expiration day.

62%
Next Week · Predicted for 10. Nov 2026
💻 Technology ✦ AI

ARM Holdings plc (NASDAQ: ARM) beats Q2-FY2027 EPS consensus of $0.47 per share — earnings report November 4, 2026 after market close (confirmed by ARM Holdings Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 5, 2026, 10:00 AM ET)

ARM Holdings reports Q2 FY2027 (July–September 2026) on November 4 after market close. EPS consensus: $0.47; revenue consensus ~$1.38B (Theta Research, Oct 29). ARM is the dominant CPU IP licensor for AI servers (Neoverse), smartphones (Apple A-series, Qualcomm), and edge devices — all three segments scaling strongly in 2026. ARM has beaten EPS consensus in each of the last four quarters, driven by AI infrastructure capex. No direct Polymarket contract; analogue: S&P 500 Q3 2026 beat rate ~71%. Key risks: export control escalation (UK/US vs. China), hyperscaler capex delays, or HBM4 demand plateau.

68%
Next Week · Predicted for 4. Nov 2026