OpenAI completes its IPO by December 31, 2026 — shares begin trading on NYSE or NASDAQ for the first time (confirmed by SEC listing or OpenAI press release)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 20. July 2026
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Predicted for 31. December 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
OpenAI filed a confidential S-1 with the SEC on June 8, 2026. Polymarket prices the completion of an OpenAI IPO by December 31, 2026 at 71% (~$3 billion in trading volume on this question). The public S-1 filing is expected by August 31, 2026 in an existing Cassandra open prediction. Typical timeline: public S-1 → 30-day SEC review → 2–3 week roadshow → listing. Scenario: S-1 by August 31 → listing October–December 2026 is realistic. Risk: market uncertainty (Iran escalation, Brent volatility), regulatory delays, or OpenAI's own hesitation ('hasn't decided on timing'). Own estimate: 60% (slightly more conservative than Polymarket due to tight timing requirements).
Data basis for this prediction
- Polymarket: 71% für OpenAI IPO bis 31.12.2026 (ca. 3 Mrd. USD Marktvolumen) – Stand 20.07.2026
- LetsDatascience.com: 'Polymarket prices OpenAI IPO at 71¢' – Stand 20.07.2026
- SEC EDGAR: OpenAI vertraulicher S-1 eingereicht 8. Juni 2026 (bestätigt durch Medienberichte)
- Polymarket: OpenAI $1T+ IPO vor 2027 ebenfalls bei 71% gehandelt – Stand 20.07.2026
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
China's securities regulator CSRC approved Shein's HKEX IPO on July 10, 2026; HKEX listing hearing successfully passed. According to Reuters/TradingView, Shein plans to publish the first listing filing (A1 document) in the week of July 27, 2026 — exactly within the July 31 deadline window. Target issuance: 341.6M shares, valuation $40–50B. The prospectus is the legally mandated next step following HKEX approval and CSRC clearance. Risk: market volatility or a last-minute regulatory request could cause a few days' delay.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
IBM typically reports Q2 on the Wednesday/Thursday of the third week of July after market close. Software (Red Hat, AI platforms) has grown double-digit for eight consecutive quarters. Cumulative generative AI booking volume exceeded $6B in Q1 2026. IBM beat adjusted EPS in 7 of the last 8 quarters (~85% beat rate). No Polymarket market identified; anchor: historical beat rate and ongoing enterprise AI capex cycles.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Qualcomm reports Q3 FY2026 on July 29 after market close. Consensus: approx. USD 1.40 Non-GAAP EPS — a sharp decline vs. USD 2.29 a year ago (mobile market dynamics, elevated chip inventories). Qualcomm has historically beaten EPS consensus in ~75% of quarters. Edge-AI chips (Snapdragon X Elite for PCs) could be a positive surprise. Headwinds: Arm licensing negotiations, weak China smartphone demand. No Polymarket market found.