OpenAI Inc. files an S-1 prospectus with the U.S. SEC or completes an IPO at a U.S. exchange by December 31, 2026 (confirmed via SEC EDGAR or Reuters by December 31, 2026)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 16. September 2026
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Predicted for 31. December 2026
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Based on: Speculative
Per Dealroom.net and MicroVentures, OpenAI targets a Q4 2026 IPO – likely November or December. OpenAI completed its conversion from a 'capped-profit' foundation structure to a full corporation in 2026, a prerequisite for a traditional IPO. If Anthropic's planned IPO (roadshow starting mid-October, open platform prediction: IPO by Oct. 31, 2026) succeeds, it will increase pressure on OpenAI to act. SpaceX's June 2026 IPO ($1.77T valuation, largest IPO ever) has opened the mega-IPO window. No Polymarket market for OpenAI IPO 2026 found. Main risk: slipping to Q1/Q2 2027 or opting for a token/ICO model instead of a traditional equity listing.
Data basis for this prediction
- Dealroom.net: Upcoming IPOs 2026 – OpenAI Ziel Q4 2026, wahrscheinlich Nov./Dez. (Stand Sept. 2026)
- MicroVentures IPO Outlook 2026: 'OpenAI target Q4 2026, likely November or December' (Sept. 2026)
- Dealroom.net: SpaceX IPO Juni 2026 – 1,77 Bio. USD Bewertung, größtes IPO aller Zeiten; Q2 2026 US-Rekord (104,8 Mrd. USD)
- SEC EDGAR: Kein S-1-Filing von OpenAI Inc. per 16. September 2026 gefunden
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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💻 Technology
✦ AI
Spotify recorded a record 751 million MAU in Q4 FY2025 (+38 million net additions, +11% YoY). In Q2 FY2025 the figure was 696 million. At a growth rate of ~10–12 million MAU per quarter, Q3 FY2026 (three quarters after Q4 FY2025) is expected in a range of ~775–795 million. The 785-million threshold sits slightly above the base trend and requires continued robust user growth, particularly in Latin America, India and Sub-Saharan Africa. Q3 is historically not a seasonal peak (Q4 with holiday season is stronger), which slightly limits the upside path. No specific Polymarket market available; estimate based on historical MAU growth trajectory.