OpenAI Inc. files an S-1 prospectus with the U.S. SEC or completes an IPO at a U.S. exchange by December 31, 2026 (confirmed via SEC EDGAR or Reuters by December 31, 2026)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 16. September 2026
·
Predicted for 31. December 2026
·
Based on: Speculative
Per Dealroom.net and MicroVentures, OpenAI targets a Q4 2026 IPO – likely November or December. OpenAI completed its conversion from a 'capped-profit' foundation structure to a full corporation in 2026, a prerequisite for a traditional IPO. If Anthropic's planned IPO (roadshow starting mid-October, open platform prediction: IPO by Oct. 31, 2026) succeeds, it will increase pressure on OpenAI to act. SpaceX's June 2026 IPO ($1.77T valuation, largest IPO ever) has opened the mega-IPO window. No Polymarket market for OpenAI IPO 2026 found. Main risk: slipping to Q1/Q2 2027 or opting for a token/ICO model instead of a traditional equity listing.
Data basis for this prediction
- Dealroom.net: Upcoming IPOs 2026 – OpenAI Ziel Q4 2026, wahrscheinlich Nov./Dez. (Stand Sept. 2026)
- MicroVentures IPO Outlook 2026: 'OpenAI target Q4 2026, likely November or December' (Sept. 2026)
- Dealroom.net: SpaceX IPO Juni 2026 – 1,77 Bio. USD Bewertung, größtes IPO aller Zeiten; Q2 2026 US-Rekord (104,8 Mrd. USD)
- SEC EDGAR: Kein S-1-Filing von OpenAI Inc. per 16. September 2026 gefunden
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
PLTR closed at $175.40 on November 4, 2026 (after-hours: $170.88, -2.58%; intraday high: $176.54; 52-week high: $212.94). Palantir clearly beat Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus: total revenue $2.313B, US Commercial revenue +148% YoY to $984M. The $185 threshold is +5.5% above the closing price or +8.3% above after-hours levels. Typical post-earnings 'sell the news' may weigh short-term, but the 52-week high of $212.94 confirms the level is reachable. NVIDIA earnings on November 18, 2026 could serve as a sector-wide catalyst. No direct Polymarket equivalent; own estimate: ~42%.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
CBRS trades at $109.18 (October 30, 2026) — already 61% below its all-time high of $279.72. The final and largest lockup expiration is scheduled for November 10, 2026: approximately 19.4 million shares are unlocked (of three tranches of 19.4M each). Prior lockup tranches have consistently weighed on the stock. Insiders have sold ~$394.6M in shares since the May 2026 IPO — zero insider purchases. A Culper Research short-seller report has triggered multiple investigations. A close below $100 requires a ~8.4% decline — plausible given the expected supply pressure on expiration day.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
ARM Holdings reports Q2 FY2027 (July–September 2026) on November 4 after market close. EPS consensus: $0.47; revenue consensus ~$1.38B (Theta Research, Oct 29). ARM is the dominant CPU IP licensor for AI servers (Neoverse), smartphones (Apple A-series, Qualcomm), and edge devices — all three segments scaling strongly in 2026. ARM has beaten EPS consensus in each of the last four quarters, driven by AI infrastructure capex. No direct Polymarket contract; analogue: S&P 500 Q3 2026 beat rate ~71%. Key risks: export control escalation (UK/US vs. China), hyperscaler capex delays, or HBM4 demand plateau.